The Investment Perspective, with Ninety One

A JSE that looks strong on the surface is really two markets in one: diversified miners and gold and platinum names riding the global AI infrastructure and commodities boom, against an SA Inc split between struggling retailers and resilient banks. Samantha Hartard explains why SA, despite having almost no tech exposure, is still finding a way into the AI trade through copper, coal and the physical buildout behind it. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Malcolm Charles breaks down why two wars, an AI-distorted equity market and an unpredictable US election are colliding at once, and what it means for investors. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been buying back long bonds to calm a sell-off at the long end of the yield curve. Fed governor Kevin Warsh, fresh from a hawkish Jackson Hole speech, wants the opposite: a smaller balance sheet and a clear signal from the curve. Ruen Naidu unpacks why the two are at odds, and why an oil price spike could override both. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The AI trade's next chapter is likely to run through copper, natural gas and gold, not chips. Paul Gooden sees natural resource equities in the early innings of a new cycle, underpinned by unusually tight supply discipline and free cash flow yields roughly double the global equity market. It's a contrarian case for an out-of-favour asset class riding on the world's most crowded theme. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

El Niño is converging with the Middle East energy shock and fertilizer supply disruptions to create a compounding inflation risk that markets have barely begun to account for. Nicolas Jaquier draws on IMF research showing El Niño has historically driven a fifth of global commodity price swings, and explains why Brazil and Argentina are better placed to absorb the shock than Southeast Asia and Colombia. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.