Daily Crypto News

BITCOIN PRICE: WHAT I THINK IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING

I want to be very clear about this, because I’ve seen a lot of forced narratives flying around over the last couple of weeks. I don’t think Venezuela, Maduro, or any single geopolitical headline is what moved Bitcoin. That kind of thinking is way too neat and honestly doesn’t line up with how markets actually behave.
What this looks like to me is classic end-of-year behavior. People took profits. People harvested losses. Funds cleaned up their books. A lot of capital simply didn’t want exposure going into the final weeks of 2025, especially with a new administration, potential policy shifts, and tax considerations all sitting right in front of us. That’s not bearish. That’s cautious.
From a market structure standpoint, the move higher we saw recently looks more like short covering than fresh spot demand. Open interest came down as price went up. That tells you shorts were closing, not that a wave of new buyers suddenly piled in. That’s an important distinction, because rallies built on short covering don’t behave the same way as rallies driven by sustained inflows.
At the same time, sentiment is still weirdly negative. You’ve got no shortage of people calling for $40,000, talking about a full-on bear market, or claiming the cycle is over. Yet when you step back, the broader setup doesn’t really support panic. Liquidity conditions are likely to improve, rate cuts are still on the table, and regulatory clarity is actually better than it was a year ago. None of that screams collapse.
https://x.com/FiboSwanny
So where does that leave us? Probably in a period of chop and uncertainty. Sideways, maybe lower, maybe higher. Anyone telling you they know exactly what comes next is lying to you. What I do believe is that 2026 starts with a much cleaner slate than 2025 ended with. New incentives, new leadership, and capital that’s finally willing to make decisions again instead of sitting on its hands.
This doesn’t feel like the end of something. It feels like a reset. And those are usually uncomfortable right before they become obvious in hindsight.
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Disclaimer

This content is not financial, legal, or tax advice. It reflects personal opinions for educational and entertainment purposes only.

I am not a financial advisor or expert, and I do not guarantee any specific outcome.

Always do your own research before making any investment or financial decisions.

©Copyright 2025 Matthew Aaron Podcasts LLC

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References & Affiliates

📰 Matt Diemer on Substack

📈 The Grow Me Co: Trading Business Webinar

🏦 Fed Overhauls Bank Policy, Pulls Back From Prior Crypto-Focused Restrictions

🏛️ Story of the Year 2025: Crypto Treasuries Meet Wall Street

🕵️ North Korean Hackers Stole $2 Billion in Crypto in 2025, Report Finds

👩‍⚖️ Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham to Join Crypto Payments Firm MoonPay

🎮 Singapore Entrepreneur Loses Entire Crypto Portfolio After Downloading Fake Game

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Disclaimer

This content is not financial, legal, or tax advice. It reflects personal opinions for educational and entertainment purposes only.

I am not a financial advisor or expert, and I do not guarantee any specific outcome.

Always do your own research before making any investment or financial decisions.

©Copyright 2025 Matthew Aaron Podcasts LLC
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

References & Affiliates

📰 Matt Diemer on Substack

📈 The Grow Me Co: Trading Business Webinar

🇮🇳 Indian MP Pushes Tokenization Bill to Democratize Investment Access for the Middle Class

⚖️ Former Theta Executives Accuse Crypto Firm’s CEO of Fraud and Retaliation

🔁 FTC Orders Nomad Operator to Repay Users $186M After 2022 Crypto Bridge Hack

🏛️ Trump, Democrats, SEC and CFTC Glint Hope for Senate Crypto Market Structure Bill

🐧 Pudgy Penguins Bets $500K on Las Vegas Sphere as PENGU Token Remains Down 85%

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Disclaimer

This content is not financial, legal, or tax advice. It reflects personal opinions for educational and entertainment purposes only.

I am not a financial advisor or expert, and I do not guarantee any specific outcome.

Always do your own research before making any investment or financial decisions.

©Copyright 2025 Matthew Aaron Podcasts LLC
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Tuesday, December 16 - Here are the Headlines:
Token vs Equity Crisis Goes Nuclear - Axelar, Aave, and Stream Finance
OCC Grants National Bank Charters to Ripple, Circle and Others
DeFi Saver Upgrades Smart Savings - Composable Yield Infrastructure Matures
PayPal’s PYUSD Offensive - Savings Vault Launch Plus Bank License Application
Lighter Ready for Token Launch After Raising $68M in Mixed Equity-Token Deal?

QUICK BITS
Trump says he’ll “look at” pardoning Samourai Bitcoin wallet developers - signaling potential clemency for crypto developers prosecuted under Biden administration’s enforcement approach.
Bitcoin active addresses just hit one-year low raising concerns about actual blockspace demand - either all the action is on CEXs or demand isn’t as strong as price action suggests.
Visa launches stablecoin settlement in US via Circle’s USDC on Solana - major payment infrastructure going crypto-native with actual production settlement not just pilots.

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