Moving Markets

US and European equity markets fell yesterday following President Trump’s announcement that Iran has 10-15 days to reach a deal over its nuclear programme. This pushed oil prices up over USD 72/ barrel this morning. On the bright side, Indian and South Korean equity markets climbed today. US Futures are also higher ahead of key US data due out today, and the possibility of the announcement of the highly anticipated Supreme Court decision on the legality of Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Fixed Income Research analyst Afonso Borges discusses expectations around the data and the court ruling as well as unpacking this week’s Fed minutes.

(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

(00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

(05:58) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research

(10:53) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

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European stocks climbed to new highs as investors responded positively to solid corporate earnings. Meanwhile, the latest Federal Reserve minutes revealed a divided stance among US monetary policymakers. In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi index - often seen as a bellwether for AI-related trades - surged to a fresh record amid easing concerns over AI‑driven disruption. In today’s episode, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the emerging winners and losers as agentic AI reshapes the software sector.

(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content

(05:55) - AI and software: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research

(09:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

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As US markets returned from the holiday, volatility re-emerged across AI-linked equities. Europe showed resilience but commodities fell on easing geopolitics. In precious metals, volatility remains elevated due to thin trading during Asian hours amid the Lunar New Year holiday. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, talks about what that means for gold and silver going forward and why dips in AUD and NZD are looking like an opportunity. A fast, lively breakdown of what’s moving markets – tune in!

(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content

(00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content

(06:00) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva

(10:21) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content

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With US markets closed for Presidents’ Day and much of Asia shut for Lunar New Year, trading was thin yesterday and overnight, yet European equities still managed to edge higher. Swiss GDP data showed a slight rebound in Q4, although overall growth for 2025 remained below the historical average. Geopolitical developments also shaped sentiment, as investors digested the outcomes of the Munich Security Conference. Meanwhile, talks between Ukraine and Russia, as well as between Iran and the US, are taking place in Geneva today — highlighting how global politics continues to steer markets and keeping oil and gold firmly in the spotlight. On today’s show, we were also joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation for an update on the crypto world, which has had a tough start to the new year.

(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

(00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content

(06:29) - Digital Assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research

(10:44) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

£Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets are starting the week on a subdued note, with US markets closed today for President’s Day. Liquidity is also thinner than usual due to the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays and carnival celebrations in parts of South America. Japanese equities are seeing some profit-taking following weaker‑than‑expected GDP data, while gold and silver are also trading lower. In today’s episode, we’re joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares why he remains wary on US equities.

(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

(01:14) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content

(06:18) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis

(09:51) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.