Moving Markets

Global markets held up yesterday despite rising oil prices and escalating tensions in Iran, with European and US equities closing higher. Asian markets rallied strongly overnight, led by South Korea and Japan. More broadly though, investors remain cautious as sentiment cools in Europe and central banks prepare for key policy decisions. Today we’re joined by Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research Analyst, to discuss this week’s monetary policy decisions, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who brings us the latest on Swiss equities.

(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

(00:36) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content

(07:12) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research

(10:39) - Equity market update - Switzerland: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research

(14:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

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Markets rebounded on Monday as declining oil prices during the day briefly eased inflation concerns, supported by IEA oil supply assurances and US comments on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. European and US equities advanced, led by artificial‑intelligence names, with Nvidia in focus after its major product event. Australia’s central bank raised rates by 25 basis points. In Asia, markets flattened as oil prices climbed again amid Middle East tensions, and President Trump postponed his trip to China because of the Iran war, driving European equity futures into the red prior to open. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research discusses renewed investor and large‑cap pharma interest in biotechnology, with a focus on Genomics.

(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

(00:55) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content

(06:44) - Emerging investment opportunities in gene testing and immunotherapy: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research

(13:07) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

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US markets closed lower on the day, and the week, on Friday but the S&P 500 is still only 5% off its all-time high. The US military struck Iran’s Kharg Island on Friday but as yet they have not targeted the oil infrastructure. President Trump is now calling for a coalition of countries to send ships to help escort cargo through the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices a little lower again. China and Hong Kong’s equities have rallied this morning as have South Korea’s, and futures point to a positive start to a central bank ‘super week’. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why 200-day moving averages are a key factor to watch in attempting to determine where markets might go from here, but at the same time it is important to focus on market breadth. Tune in to hear more.

(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

(00:42) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content

(05:28) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis

(09:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As the conflict in Iran continues to drive oil prices higher and unsettle global markets, investors are assessing the implications for Asia and China. Meanwhile in Beijing, the annual Two Sessions meetings have just concluded, outlining policy priorities and economic targets for the year ahead.
In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management. They discuss how geopolitical tensions are affecting Asian markets, their key takeaways from the Two Sessions, the outlook for Hong Kong versus A-shares, and the case for renminbi appreciation. Looking further ahead, they also examine the lessons from Japan’s balance sheet recession framework for China.

(00:00) - Can Asia and China markets weather the storm?

(03:14) - Hong Kong markets vs A-shares

(07:40) - Key takeaways from Two Sessions

(11:19) - Is the RMB appreciation trend set to continue?

(16:08) - Lessons from Japan's balance sheet recession framework for China

Global markets endured another turbulent session as escalating tensions in the Middle East, including aggressive rhetoric from both Iran and the United States, drove oil prices higher and fuelled risk aversion. European and US equities extended their declines, with energy stocks bucking the trend. Strong US macro data contrasted with the geopolitical gloom, but new US trade investigations under Section 301 added to uncertainty. Private credit concerns also intensified, weighing heavily on major alternative asset managers. Asian markets traded lower overnight, gold slipped despite its safe‑haven appeal, and investors now turn their attention to a packed economic data agenda. Joining our show today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, for the latest on currencies and metals.

(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content

(06:28) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva

(10:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content

Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.