Moving Markets

Defence stocks soared across the globe yesterday after US President Trump called for a bigger military budget. Meanwhile, technology shares stumbled, oil rebounded sharply, and precious metals gained ground. In Asian trading, Fast Retailing impressed with strong earnings, while Rio Tinto slipped on merger talks with Glencore. We also discuss the narrowing US trade deficit, the Fed’s dovish signals, and Switzerland’s muted inflation backdrop. Joining our show today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva, with an update on metals and currencies.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:45) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (08:40) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (12:54) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Investors should prepare themselves for 2026 to be a year that rewards those who adapt early to the resets and rebalancing which are shaping the new investment landscape. So, what are the key themes?In this edition of Moving Markets - The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko sits down with Christian Gattiker, Head of Research, and Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia, to discuss Julius Baer's Market Outlook 2026 and why it’s important not to let a single country or theme dominate portfolios. Asian equities, artificial intelligence, defensives, and European cyclical stocks all have a role to play. The conversation also covers fixed income positioning, the appeal of Australian dollar bonds, prospects for further US dollar weakness, and whether gold's remarkable run can continue.(00:00) - Introduction to speakers and topic (00:52) - Defining resetting and rebalancing (01:53) - Economic expectations for 2026 (02:46) - The opportunity set is going global (05:51) - Asian AI and tech have room to run (08:03) - Careful portfolio construction required for AI (09:07) - A balanced equity allocation advised for 2026 (09:54) - Fixed income: balancing credit exposure and duration (10:41) - Time to consider Australian dollar bonds (11:52) - Expectations for the US dollar and its alternatives (13:58) - Can the precious metals rally continue? (15:34) - Key messages to take away (16:30) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets closed marginally lower yesterday as they weighed the US administration’s moves on Venezuela and the potential for escalation regarding Greenland. Nevertheless, there were some bright spots: the Nasdaq was boosted by Alphabet, and the Kospi saw gains this morning as Samsung announced impressive Q4 earnings guidance. Defence stocks rose in Europe, but fell in the US, for different reasons. Amidst the surge in precious metals prices, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, explains why he believes that silver prices have moved too far, too fast of late, and why investors need to distinguish between flow-driven and fundamentals-driven price moves. Tune in to find out where he sees prices going from here.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:22) - Precious metals update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (11:30) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equities surged with US, European, and Asian markets reaching new highs, brushing aside geopolitical concerns. Copper and precious metals spiked on supply concerns and strong demand, while bond markets priced in more rate cuts following softer European inflation data. Still, geopolitical risks and upcoming economic data remain in focus, creating the first challenges of the year in Asian trading this morning. On today’s show, Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares what these developments mean for the bond market, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, outlines his sector outlook for 2026.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:37) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:24) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:58) - Equity market sector update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (12:57) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Equity markets have kicked off the first full trading week of the year on a strong note, with major indices in the US and Europe reaching record highs despite persistent concerns over Venezuela and its potential geopolitical ripple effects. Gold and silver continued their breathtaking rally while government bond yields fell a little. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, shares his insights on the situation in Venezuela and the outlook for oil prices.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:40) - Oil price update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:03) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.