The Road to Autonomy

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss their Texas Field Work where they rode in Cybercab, Waymo, Avride, May Mobility robotaxis, Kodiak and Aurora autonomous trucks, and inspected depots across Austin and Dallas.
Grayson’s verdict on Tesla’s Cybercab is simple. Once you go Cybercab, you don’t go back. In Austin, wait times averaged two to five minutes across dozens of rides, and from a software perspective Grayson found no material difference between Cybercab and the Model Y Robotaxi in terms of performance.
In Austin, Grayson counted roighly 200 to 300 vehicles at Avride’s upfitting facility, a presence he believes the market is overlooking, and views Hyundai as a quiet winner of the robotaxi buildout with the IONIQ 5 powering Waymo, Avride and Motional. The Zoox depot in Dallas was under construction with no visible charging infrastructure, and Grayson estimates it is 12 to 18 months from being operational.
Both Walt and Grayson rode in a Kodiak autonomous truck and Walt noted clear improvement ahead of Kodiak’s driver-out target on the Dallas to Houston lane by year-end. Additionally, Walt rode in an unsupervised Aurora autonomous truck at their Investor Day.
On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Baidu is ramping supervised robotaxi testing in London with Lyft, Mercedes-Benz signed a licensing deal with Wayve, and Tensor Auto is preparing to deploy robotaxis with Volt Premium Taxi in Bulgaria.

Episode Chapters
0:00 Once You Go Cybercab, You Don't Go Back
03:56 Robotaxi in Dallas
09:01 Cybercab Wait Times, Pickups and Routing in Austin
12:10 Austin Robotaxi Depots
13:45 Avride's Austin Depot
16:02 Zoox's Dallas Depot
17:22 May Mobility in Arlington
20:17 Kodiak Targets Driver-Out on Dallas to Houston by Year-End
24:19 Avride in Dallas and the Uber Partner Math
26:46 Hyundai Is the Quiet Winner in Robotaxis
27:30 Walt Amends His View on Upfitting
30:57 Tesla's Vertical Integration and Supercharger Advantage
33:06 Aurora Investor Day and the 1,000 Truck Target
40:22 President Xi's Visit and a Wake-Up Call for Detroit
47:01 Foreign Autonomy Desk
49:33 Next Week

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About The Road to Autonomy
The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™.
Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth.
Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next.

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See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss May Mobility filing to go public through a SPAC merger with an estimated $93 million annual cash burn, Mercedes-Benz adding Wayve as its third automated driving software partner, and Figure AI’s Helix 2.5 taking on household chores across 30 homes it had never seen before.
May Mobility is merging with ACP Holdings Acquisition Corp at a $1.4 billion valuation and will trade under the ticker MAY upon completion of the transaction. Of the up to $337 million in proceeds, only the $120 million PIPE is committed.
At the company’s current burn rate, the PIPE covers about 1.3 years of operations against roughly $10 million in 2025 revenue. The remaining $217 million depends on the redemption rate.
Mercedes-Benz signed with Wayve for point-to-point Level 2 driving assistance within two years. Wayve joins NVIDIA and Momenta as Mercedes retreats from L3 Drive Pilot and focuses on L2 driving assistance partnerships.
Figure AI’s Helix 2.5 raised zero-shot success from 9% to 56% by pre-training on human behavior data, using half the task-specific data. That still leaves a 44% failure rate in curated homes, with no independent replication and no commercial contracts. The result supports a learning strategy, not a dependable, unsupervised home humanoid.

Episode Chapters
0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction
01:45 Signal 1: May Mobility's SPAC
27:52 Signal 2: Mercedes Partners Wayve on Autonomous Driving
47:07 Signal 3: Figure AI Introduces Helix 2.5

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About The Road to Autonomy
The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™.
Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth.
Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next.

Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Lee Redden, Founder of LastFeet joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss solving the last 50 feet of package delivery with a custom-built legged robot designed to ride in the jump seat of a delivery van and carry packages from the curb to the doorstep.
After co-founding Blue River Technology and selling it to Deere, Lee returned to building because he believes this is one of the best times ever to build robots. LastFeet’s robot walks on four legs with wheels on its feet, so it can climb the high step out of a box truck and then roll quickly and steadily to the door. It learns to walk entirely in simulation, a big change from the hand-calculated kinematics Lee learned in grad school.
The inspiration came from delivery drivers. Lee interviewed dozens of drivers and shadowed their routes, then modeled his robot on the runner, the second person who rides in the passenger seat on busy days and carries packages to the door while the driver keeps driving.
On day one, the robot sits in the jump seat with no change to how the back of the van is loaded. The driver loads a package, the robot bows at the door to set it on the step, and if it runs into something it can’t handle, it asks a remote human for help.
The first robot carries 15 pounds, which covers most packages, and runs on an NVIDIA Orin AGX with two-hour hot-swappable batteries. When it’s unsure what to do, its safety response is to freeze in place and turn into a table.

Episode Chapters
0:00 Why Lee Redden Is Building Again
02:41 How the LastFeet Robot Works
04:56 How to Build a Robot in 2026
07:27 Testing in Snow and Ice
10:00 How the Robot Delivers to Every Doorstep
12:43 Riding in the Jump Seat of a Delivery Van
15:00 Manufacturing at Scale
18:46 Building for Rugged Delivery Vans
22:54 LastFeet Business Model
29:32 Battery Life and Charging in the Van
32:11 What Lee Learned Shadowing 50 Delivery Drivers
37:28 Safety and Building Trust With the Public
40:18 The Future of LastFeet
43:11 AUTNMY AI

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About The Road to Autonomy
The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™.
Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth.
Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next.

Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Waymo’s expansion to Tokyo and Singapore, NHTSA’s ongoing audit of Tesla’s Cybercab in Austin and Bolt’s plan to deploy up to 25,000 Lucid robotaxis in Europe.
Today, Tesla has roughly 40 Cybercabs operating in Austin, and Grayson believes Tesla is respectfully holding at its home market while NHTSA completes a fact-finding audit. If Tesla passes, it is free to deploy in any state that permits fully autonomous operations. Walt expects the process to wrap by year-end, and Grayson reads Administrator Morrison’s Pittsburgh speech on updating outdated federal motor vehicle safety standards (FMVSS) as a signal that a pathway is opening.
As Waymo continues their global expansion, Grayson predicts Singapore will be an IONIQ 5 market and Tokyo a Toyota market, with the vehicle constraint that has defined Waymo now dissipating, and he reads the Allianz partnership as the insurance piece falling into place for Waymo’s grand European expansion.
In Las Vegas, riders can now go anywhere in the ODD, and in Nashville, The Road to Autonomy Special Field correspondent David Moss got banned from the Lyft app playing autonomy roulette.
May Mobility announced a SPAC with $10 million of 2025 revenue and a $270,000 bill of materials, and Wayve hired Waymo’s former CFO, which Grayson views as a signal Wayve may be eyeing the public markets.
On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Grayson and Walt analyzed Einride’s deployment in Germany, Pony AI, Uber and Verne’s driver-out launch in Zagreb on a 13.67-mile fixed loop. Spain issued its first SAE Level 4 permit to WeRide and Uber, with Grayson predicting a Waymo expansion to Madrid by Q2 of next year. In Singapore, Grab is expanding their WeRide fleet 5X to 50 robotaxis.

Episode Chapters
0:00 Reviewing the Jason Calacanis Episode
03:17 Tesla Cybercab NHTSA Audit
06:23 NHTSA Administrator Morrison's Pittsburgh Speech
08:14 Waymo on Lyft in Nashville
10:56 Waymo in Las Vegas
13:17 Waymo in Tokyo and Singapore
16:20 Waymo / Allianz Partnership
17:25 Bolt's Grand Robotaxi Ambitions
20:45 May Mobility SPAC
23:42 Wayve's Hires Waymo's Fmr. CFO
24:45 Hyundai IONIQ 5 Robotaxis
28:11 Autonomous Trucking
30:34 Foreign Autonomy Desk
35:35 Next Week

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About The Road to Autonomy
The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™.
Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth.
Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next.

Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss NHTSA ordering Tesla to answer 21 technical and legal questions under oath by September 30 on Cybercab self-certification, Waymo hitting local political friction in San Diego after CPUC approval, and GMO Air unveiling a robot EMS vehicle in Tokyo built to service humanoids in the field.
NHTSA’s Office of Vehicle Safety Compliance, by special order signed by the Chief Counsel, required Tesla to explain how a steering-wheel-free Cybercab meets FMVSS 101, 102, 108, 111, 126, and 135 standards written around human controls such as mirrors, brake pedals, turn-signal self-cancel, and shift displays, and why Tesla did not seek a Part 555 exemption as Zoox did.
The inquiry also asks whether some test results depended on temporary manual controls later removed. Public Cybercab service began September 3, 2026 in Austin. Nothing in the order grounds the fleet or caps production; September 30 is an evidentiary deadline, not a shutdown date.
While Tesla answers Washington, San Diego City Council voted 8–0 to request local regulatory authority over AI and autonomous vehicles, a follow-up to CPUC approval that gives the city no power to stop Waymo. California has preempted local autonomous vehicles rules for more than a decade.
The San Diego City Council resolution is toothless on paper, but it flags the real friction points: emergency-response incidents, airport access outside state preemption, stricter local ticketing after a July 1 law, and depot or charging permits that still sit with the city. Waymo called the move extraordinarily premature and cited a 100,000-person local waitlist; it already has a field-verified operational depot in San Diego.
In Tokyo, GMO Air unveiled a robot EMS vehicle equipped with diagnostic tools, spare parts, a backup humanoid, and a purple roof light distinct from red human-ambulance lighting. The demo still used human-in-the-loop controls because of latency. The signal is adjacent infrastructure, field maintenance and uptime for deployed humanoids, not a driverless medical ambulance for people.

Episode Chapters
0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction
01:41 Signal 1: Will NHTSA Ground Cybercab?
26:59 Signal 2: San Diego City Council Wants Local Control
48:39 Signal 3: Japan’s Ambulance for Humanoids

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About The Road to Autonomy
The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™.
Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth.
Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next.

Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.