📊 Weekly Market Recap (Aug 25 – 29, 2025)
Welcome back to Wealth Dome — where we grow and protect our wealth!This week was full of drama on Wall Street: court rulings, AI stock turbulence, record highs, and even the U.S. government stepping into Intel (INTC) with a 10% stake.🔥 Market Highlights* Tariff Ruling: U.S. appeals court struck down most of Trump’s tariffs → easing inflation fears.* S&P 500 Record High: Closed at 6504, despite weakness on Friday.* GDP Surprise: U.S. Q2 GDP at 3.3% vs. forecast 3.1%.* Fed Rate Cut Odds: 85% probability of 25 bps cut in September fueling optimism.* Small Caps Lagging: Divergence as mega-cap tech leads.💡 Key Earnings Recap* Alibaba (BABA): Beat EPS, missed revenue, unveiled AI chip → stock jumped +13%.* Nvidia (NVDA): EPS +54%, revenue +56% → but stock dropped on AI chip competition fears.* Autodesk (ADSK): Beat across the board; retraced gains.* CrowdStrike (CRWD): Strong earnings + acquisition → but heavy pullback.* Dell (DELL): Earnings beat, but stock broke below 100-day MA → possible cooling period.* Eli Lilly (LLY): +6% on positive pill trial, but downtrend intact.📰 Intel Shock* U.S. government acquires 10% stake in Intel (INTC) under CHIPS Act funding.* Passive stake, no board seat, but raises concerns about international sales.* Intel remains -60% from all-time highs → turnaround hopes but uphill battle.📈 My Trades (Aug 25–29)* SoFi (SOFI): Quick trade, +€17.50. Watching pullback zones for re-entry.* Ferrari (RACE): Range-bound, small gain +€15.10.* Rheinmetall (RHM.DE): Defense play, +€55.50, but cautious outlook.* Alphabet (GOOGL): Sold entire position in two tranches. +€421.91 net. Will re-enter lower.* Visa (V): +€47.72 after tax.* Constellation Software (W9C.TO): +€810 small gain.* CrowdStrike (CRWD): +€72.24. Sold shares post-earnings pullback.Weekly Profit: +€160 (~$187)August Total: €985 ($1,090) — short of my €2,000 monthly target, but solid discipline shown.📌 Lessons Learned* Stick to Strategy: Taking profits early saved me from reversals.* Don’t Chase AI Hype: Nvidia & CrowdStrike show the risk of overbought momentum.* Cash is King: September’s packed with ISM, jobs, CPI, PPI, and Fed — dry powder is essential.📅 Important Events Next Week* Sept 3 (Tue): ISM Manufacturing PMI* Sept 5 (Thu): Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI* Sept 6 (Fri): Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate* Following weeks: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Fed FOMC Meetings → high volatility expected.🔗 Relevant Mentions* Alibaba Earnings (BABA)* Nvidia Investor Relations (NVDA)* Autodesk IR (ADSK)* CrowdStrike Reports (CRWD)* Intel CHIPS Act News (INTC)* Wealth Dome Substack Archive⏱️ Timestamps* 00:00 – Weekly intro & market drama* 00:29 – Tariff ruling shakes markets* 00:43 – Alibaba earnings & AI chip boom (BABA)* 01:12 – U.S. market surge (S&P 500 hits 6504)* 01:53 – GDP + jobs data beat* 02:43 – Nasdaq weakness, RSI divergence* 03:12 – Fed rate cut odds 85%* 03:53 – Nvidia earnings breakdown (NVDA)* 05:32 – Autodesk earnings pop (ADSK)* 07:12 – CrowdStrike analysis (CRWD)* 08:57 – Dell earnings impact (DELL)* 09:53 – Eli Lilly weight loss drug trial (LLY)* 12:02 – Intel 10% U.S. stake explained (INTC)* 14:35 – Market rotation, Caterpillar/Deere weakness* 15:58 – Next week’s key events (PMI, NFP)* 16:55 – Announcement: new investing basics series* 17:56 – Weekly trades recap (SOFI, RACE, RHM.DE, GOOGL, V, W9C.TO, CRWD)* 26:35 – Alphabet (GOOGL) sell explained & re-entry zones* 27:01 – Wrap-up & closing thoughts This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
South Africa