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Norbert’s Wealth Dome

Norbert B.M.
Norbert’s Wealth Dome
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  • Weekly Market Recap: Tariffs, Trades & Key Stock Moves | July 28 – August 1, 2025
    Welcome to your weekly market wrap-up! We cover the most significant market-moving news, detailed trade reviews, and key lessons learned.🔥 Market Highlights* Trump Tariffs: New tariffs of 15% on Europe, significant tariffs on Switzerland, and massive 50% tariffs on copper triggered market volatility.* Market Reaction: Broad declines in various sectors, except for health and technology.* Copper's Big Move: Copper prices dropped significantly following the tariff announcement. My copper short (ETF: XMWF) ended with an $88 gain but could've yielded over $3,000 had I held longer.📈 My Trades This WeekDateTickerCompany / ETF NameProfit/LossJuly 28XLVHealth Sector ETF+$61.75July 28HCCWarrior Met Coal-€132.2July 29XLEEnergy Sector ETF+€10July 29MPMP MaterialsSmall profitJuly 29MCDMcDonald's+€7.2July 29TXNTexas Instruments+€17.19July 29RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises+€9.7July 29LLYEli Lilly+€6.8July 29TXNTexas Instruments (second trade)+€67.03July 30XOMExxon Mobil+€5.6July 29XMWFCopper Short ETF+$88.59July 29Tax RefundTax adjustment from previous losses+€32.48🗓 Trades and Income (August 1)DateTickerCompanyDetailsIncomeAug 1NLYAnnaly Capital ManagementDividend+€46.60Aug 1FIGFigma IPOSold position+€178Aug 1COSTCostco Wholesale CorpSold position+€35.5Aug 1PMPhilip MorrisSold position+€20.2Aug 1DELLDell TechnologiesDividend+€7.9Aug 1Cash InterestCash holdingsInterest payment+€13.5🧠 Lessons Learned* Position Sizing: Avoid oversized positions causing emotional trading and early exits.* Trust Your Thesis: Stick to your research; early exits can significantly impact returns, as seen in the copper trade.* Stop Loss Importance: Tight stop losses can limit losses but can also prematurely exit profitable trades (example: Warrior Met Coal).📌 Stocks & ETFs Mentioned* Health Sector ETF: XLV* Energy Sector ETF: XLE* Copper Short ETF: XMWF (WisdomTree)* Warrior Met Coal: HCC* MP Materials: MP* McDonald's: MCD* Texas Instruments: TXN* Royal Caribbean Cruises: RCL* Eli Lilly: LLY* Exxon Mobil: XOM* Annaly Capital Management: NLY* Figma IPO: FIG* Costco Wholesale Corp: COST* Philip Morris: PM* Dell Technologies: DELL This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
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  • Stock Market Weekly Review “Navigating Tariffs, Earnings, and Economic Data”
    📌 Weekly Highlights* 🇺🇸 Trade Tensions: New U.S. tariffs spark global reactions* 📊 Earnings Kickoff: Q2 reports begin strong* 🏠 Economic Data: Inflation, housing, sentiment updates* 🏦 Fed Focus: Market eyes policy signals* 🤖 Sector Strength: Tech & crypto remain resilient🚨 Event 1 – Trade TensionsWhat Happened* July 14: 30% tariffs on EU & Mexico imports* 50% copper tariff extended earlierMarket Impact* 📉 Monday dip across sectors* ⚙️ Agriculture & manufacturing exposed* 📈 Recovery later in week as focus shifted💹 Event 2 – Earnings Season BeginsKey Results* Fastenal, JPMorgan: Beat expectations* Netflix: Beat but fell on inflated expectations* Schwab & Chevron: Strong results + acquisitionsMarket Impact* Major driver of gains* S&P 500 & Nasdaq hit record highs* Q2 earnings growth revised from 4% → 10%📈 Event 3 – Economic DataWhat Happened* CPI in line with forecasts* Housing starts rebound* Consumer sentiment up to 61.8* Inflation expectations down to 4.4%Market Impact* 📊 Stability in inflation calms Fed fears* 🏠 Positive housing data lifts confidence* 💼 “Risk-on” mood builds end-of-week momentum💰 Event 4 – Fed Policy WatchOngoing Trends* Rate cut hopes remain* Tariff-related inflation seen as temporaryMarket Impact* 🎯 Uncertainty keeps yields range-bound (4%–4.5%)* 🧩 Anticipated easing supports equities🤖 Sector Spotlight – Tech & CryptoHighlights* Nasdaq & Bitcoin hit highs* Nvidia dips slightly post-$4T* Palantir & Autodesk jumpMarket Impact* 🚀 AI and crypto momentum drives investor interest* 💡 Key contributors to market strength📊 Overall Performance* 📈 S&P & Nasdaq: New highs* ⚖️ Dow: Slight dip despite intraday volatility* 🧭 Main drivers: Earnings & economic resilience offset tariffsThis week’s markets were a rollercoaster driven by new tariff announcements, corporate earnings, and evolving monetary policy signals. Let’s dive into what happened, how major indices reacted, and how I traded it — including updates on copper, AMD, NVIDIA, and more.🔥 Key Market Drivers🇺🇸 Trump Announces New Tariffs* 30% tariffs announced on imports from EU and Mexico* Follows earlier 50% copper tariffs* Impact: Initially sent markets lower, copper soared* Personal Trade: I’m shorting copper — but trend remains dangerously bullish short-term📉 Market Reaction & RecoveryDespite the tariff shock:* Dow, S&P 500, NASDAQ opened lower but rebounded midweek* NASDAQ hit all-time highs, optimism fueled by earnings💼 Q2 Earnings Season Kicks Off🟢 Strong Performers:* Fastenal (FAST): Beat expectations* JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Strong numbers, flat stock reaction* Netflix (NFLX): Beat on earnings, but declined due to high expectations* Charles Schwab (SCHW): Stock rallied on positive results* Chevron (CVX): Gained on acquisition but later turned down🔎 Energy Sector Overview:* Exxon fell -3.48%* Sector dragged down by majors despite green performance elsewhere📈 Technical Outlook* S&P 500 reached new all-time highs midweek, but closed red on Friday* Watching 20-day MA for short-term support* If that breaks, 50-day MA is key dip-buy zone🧾 Economic Data HighlightsIndicatorReport DateResult🧮 CPI (Inflation)TuesdayIn line with expectations🏠 Housing StartsFridayRebounded in June🎓 Michigan SentimentFridayConfidence rising, inflation expectations down to 4.4%🏦 Monetary Policy:* Fed expected to cut rates twice by year-end* Powell under pressure from Trump* Inflation vs growth remains a tightrope walk💻 Tech & Crypto Overview* NASDAQ hits new highs 📈* Bitcoin holds strong* Breakout started July 10th* Short-term pullback possible to 20-day MA* Target: $150K by 2026 (long-term)💼 My Weekly Trades✅ Profitable Trades:StockNet ProfitNotesAutodesk$91Closed early; could have earned moreNVIDIA$16Exited too earlyAMDLarge UnrealizedWatching for pullback to reenter❌ Loss Trades:StockNet LossNotesLockheed MartinSmallAvoided bigger lossExxon-$114Exited on sell signalXLF (Financial ETF)MinorWaiting for dip to re-enter📈 Total July Profit (So Far): €277.94 = $322 USD🧠 Final ThoughtsDespite geopolitical noise, markets remain bullish on strong earnings and muted inflation data. I’m closely watching copper and AMD for new entries, and I expect volatility to remain high into August.📝 Conclusion* 🔀 Mixed signals: Trade worries vs. strong fundamentals* 📢 Earnings as key catalyst* 🛣️ Outlook: Eyes on future earnings, Fed, and trade updates This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
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  • Beginner’s Guide to ETFs: What They Are & How to Start Investing Today (2025)
    Ever wish you could own a piece of the entire stock market without buying thousands of individual stocks? ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) make that possible.In this blog post, I’ll break down everything you need to know about ETFs — what they are, how they work, the pros and cons, and how to choose your first one. This is your complete beginner guide to ETFs in 2025.🧺 What Is an ETF?An ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) is like a basket holding different types of investments such as:* 📈 Stocks from various companies, industries, or countries* 💵 Bonds (corporate or government)* 🛢️ Commodities like oil, gold, or even agricultural goods* 🌍 Currencies or Real Estate assetsYou can buy and sell ETF shares just like stocks, but each share gives you exposure to everything inside the basket.🔄 ETF vs Mutual FundFeatureETFMutual Fund🕒 TradingAll day (like a stock)Once daily (after market closes)💵 PricingMarket-drivenEnd-of-day NAV💰 FeesLow (TER)Often higher💳 MinimumsOften $1 or less (fractional)Sometimes $1,000+🔁 ManagementPassive (mostly)Often actively managed💸 Tax EfficiencyHighLower✅ Benefits of ETFs for Beginners* 🚀 Instant diversification — one ETF = exposure to many assets* 💲 Low costs — trade once, pay minimal TER (Total Expense Ratio)* 🧠 Simplicity — one ETF can track entire markets (e.g. S&P 500)* 🏦 Access — invest globally or sector-specific from one account📈 Types of ETFs🌐 1. Broad Market ETFs* e.g., S&P 500 ETFs or World ETFs* Exposure to top U.S. companies or global markets💵 2. Bond ETFs* Stability & potential income* e.g., government bonds, corporate high-yield bonds🏥 3. Sector/Industry ETFs* Focused exposure (tech, healthcare, renewables, etc.)* Higher potential returns & risk💰 4. Dividend ETFs* Invest in dividend-paying companies* Great for income investors⚠️ What to Avoid* ❌ Leveraged ETFs* ❌ Inverse ETFs* ❌ Complex commodity fundsThese are high-risk and not beginner-friendly.⚖️ Risks of ETFs* 📉 Market Risk — ETF will drop if the overall market drops* ❗ Tracking Error — minimal in broad ETFs, but exists* 💧 Liquidity Risk — smaller ETFs can be hard to trade* 🧨 Concentration Risk — sector-specific ETFs can crash on bad news🛠️ How to Start Investing in ETFs* ✅ Open a brokerage account* Look for: no minimums, zero-commission ETF trading, good research tools* Example brokers: Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab, E*TRADE (U.S.)* 🎯 Define your goal* Retirement? Down payment? Long-term savings?* Choose ETF based on time horizon & risk tolerance* 🔍 Pick your ETF* Look for low TER (e.g., 0.07%)* Choose broadly diversified ETFs (S&P 500, Total World Market)* Avoid complex or niche ETFs🧠 Suggested ETFs to Research* SPY / VOO – S&P 500* VT – Total World Stock Market* BND – U.S. Bond Market* VYM / SCHD – Dividend-focused ETFs This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
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  • 📉 Wealthdom Weekly Recap: July 7–11, 2025 – Market, Trades & What’s Coming
    📰 Top News from the Week✅ Strong U.S. Jobs Data* 147,000 jobs added in June* Unemployment rate dropped due to a decline in labor force participation* Average hourly earnings increased slower than in May* Market reaction: Mixed early, then turned bullish midweek; slight red close Friday📊 Inflation Surprises* China CPI: +0.1% — a sign of weak inflation and potential stalled recovery* Eurozone CPI: Climbed to the ECB’s 2% target* Retail Sales in Eurozone: Cooled to 1.8% in May* Potential pause in ECB rate cuts🛠️ Tariff Talk & Copper Market AnalysisDonald Trump floated 200–300% tariffs, including:* 50% tariff on copper — a huge signal for the commodity space📈 Copper Market Overview:* At all-time highs* Strong bullish uptrend since early 2024* Copper demand expected to rise due to AI infrastructure, electric cables, and energy needs🤔 Should you short copper now? I say: not yet — the trend is your friend.📅 Key Economic Events (Next Week Preview)* Monday: Core Inflation (YoY, MoM)* Wednesday: PPI report* Thursday: U.S. Retail Sales* Friday: Building Permits, Housing Starts, Michigan Consumer Sentiment⚠️ Risky week ahead — cautious trading advised.💼 My Trades This Week🟢 Sold Positions:TickerProfit (in $)NotesEli Lilly$7.49Closed at minor gainRheinmetall (RHM)$35Locked in profitTesla (TSLA)-$25 & -$56, +$9.5First losses, slight reboundS&P 500 ETFSmall swingBought & sold same weekVisa (V)$118Fully exitedAmazon (AMZN)$8.89Small gainCircle$117Sold MondayMat Co/Warrior Met Coal$44.34Planning re-entry on other portfolio📈 Weekly profit goal: €250✅ Achieved: €287🎯 Monthly goal: €1,000📈 My Weekly Investing StrategyI aim to hit consistent targets through:* Small, low-risk swing trades* Using macro events + charts* Weekly trade reviews to refine strategy🧠 Final ThoughtsThis week was volatile yet rewarding. Between strong jobs data, uncertain inflation, and copper hype, the market remains unpredictable. But with discipline, small trades, and clear goals, you can stay ahead. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
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  • Market Update & Portfolio Strategy – July 2025 Edition
    In this blog post, I’m breaking down the latest market news, geopolitical shifts, economic data, and my updated portfolio strategy including high-conviction stocks like Visa, Apple, AMD, Mastercard, and more. Plus, I’ll share key earnings takeaways and how I’m trading oil and bonds right now.📰 Market RecapThe S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones all hit new all-time highs as geopolitical tensions eased and trade optimism resurged. Major catalysts include:* Ceasefire between Iran & Israel* Reports of potential trade deals with China and India* Dovish Fed comments and high expectations of rate cuts* Explosive performance in AI and tech sectors (e.g. Nvidia, Oracle)📊 Index Weekly Performance:* S&P 500: +3.4%* Nasdaq: +4.25%* Dow Jones: +3.8%🛢️ Oil Trade BreakdownTensions in the Middle East initially drove oil prices higher, but once de-escalation occurred, WTI crude dropped 13% to ~$65/barrel.💼 My Trade:* Bought a short on WTI on Monday (sold shortly after)* Target buy range: $55–$60/barrel* Preferred oil stock: Exxon Mobil (XOM) – decent dividend but still waiting for better technicals💰 Economic Data & Fed Outlook* Core PCE inflation rose slightly* Consumer inflation expectations dropped* Durable goods orders surged (especially aircraft)* Fed rate cut probability: 92% chance by September📉 Rate cuts would boost borrowing and market momentum.📊 Earnings & Stock Picks✅ Nike (NKE)* Popped +20% on solid earnings* MACD shows buy signal, RSI overbought* Exiting this small position in my portfolio🆕 Circle IPO* Small starter position: 0.85% of my portfolio* Down ~18%* Watching for a potential re-entry after summer correction💳 Mastercard (MA) & Visa (V)* Re-entered Visa after its June breakout* Bought 7 shares of MA at $468* Bullish on both companies for the long term📈 Portfolio HighlightsStockPosition %NotesLong-Term Bonds12%Waiting for rate cuts; yield ~4.31%Apple (AAPL)11.5%Expecting late-year rallyAMD9.3%Down currently, strong long-term playASML–Monopoly in lithography chipsGoogle (GOOG)–Bullish on AI + Gemini rolloutNovo Nordisk–Still holding; litigation ongoingUnitedHealth–Down but potential 30%+ annual returnBerkshire Hathaway–Long-term conviction buy🧪 Watchlist* Intel – Potential acquisition target* Realty Income (O) – Oversold, watching for bounce* Truist Financial (TFC) – Will exit on RSI overbought This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
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