We’ll finally get the last monetary policy decision of the year from the US central bank today and a 25 basis point cut is firmly priced in. Almost more important will be the dot plot, economic projections, and comments from Jerome Powell after the main event. Global equity markets have been relatively muted in the last 24 hours aside from some company specific news that you can catch up on in today’s podcast. Strong earnings growth and an accommodative Fed are a strong backdrop going forwards, as detailed by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who also provides more clarity on his recent downgrade of Industrials to Neutral. He even provides a sneak peek at his preferred sectors for 2026.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(05:52) - Equity market update and industrials downgrade: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research
(11:15) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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12:28
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12:28
Markets tread water ahead of Fed decision as M&A frenzy heats up
Financial markets were largely subdued yesterday, as investors awaited tomorrow’s pivotal Fed rate decision. But the corporate world was anything but quiet with Paramount challenging Netflix in the hostile bid for Warner Bros Discovery. Asian markets were mixed, oil prices eased on hopes for progress in Ukraine, and gold dipped ahead of the Fed decision. In tech, President Trump surprised markets by allowing Nvidia to export its H200 chips to China. Joining us today is Damien Ng from Next Generation Research, who shares the latest developments in Alzheimer’s research and provides an update on the extended longevity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content
(05:43) - Alzheimer’s developments & update on longevity investment view: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research
(10:00) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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11:05
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11:05
Stocks continue to edge higher
Equities ended the week higher with US personal consumption expenditure data signalling easing inflation and bolstering expectations of a Fed rate cut this week. Meanwhile, Netflix’s blockbuster USD 72 billion Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition could shake up the streaming and entertainment landscape if approved. Joining today’s show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He talks about the outlook for the US dollar; gold, silver, and copper, and why he expects a year-end rally for equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jann Bopp, Product & Investment Content
(06:09) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis
(08:16) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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9:23
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9:23
Gold over bonds
Data showed low US jobless claims contrasting with continued corporate layoffs, leaving rate cut expectations for next week intact. This helped US small caps to outperform. Onshore China shares are rising following strong demand for the second-largest IPO this year. Global central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries for the first time in 30 years. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, talks about volatile metals this week and what FX trading in a narrow range means for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
(06:33) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva
(10:31) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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11:50
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11:50
US jobs data provides more fuel for a rate cut
Markets are now pricing in an 89% chance of a rate cut by the Fed next week after November private payrolls data surprised, revealing 32,000 jobs were cut (instead of the expected 40,000 added). US indices closed marginally higher on the day, with Asian markets following suit. Japan’s 30-year government bond auction saw good demand, but JGB yields remain high as markets anticipate a rate hike. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the podcast to talk about silver - its remarkable rally and whether it is justified, and what might happen next.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(06:06) - Silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research
(09:25) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.