AI Explained Official Podcast

Anthropic's CEO, who has consistently predicted transformative AI will arrive before 2030, recently published a nearly 20,000-word essay outlining his vision of where AI is heading. The video gives you the highlights. The essay argues that scaling and recursion will advance AI from coding automation to full engineering automation, while warning of economic displacement within 1-2 years and China's trajectory toward AI-enabled totalitarianism. Additionally, Dario Amodei predicts that AI models will increasingly be understood as collections of distinct personas rather than monolithic systems.

80,000 Hours: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B54EQiuO1UU

Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:10 - Scaling to software engineers
06:11 - Permanent Underclass
10:18 - Totalitarian Nightmares
16:38 - Collection of Personas

Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology

Physics Prediction: https://www.quantamagazine.org/is-particle-physics-dead-dying-or-just-hard-20260126/

Axios: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

World GDP: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2024&start=1961&view=chart

Demis Hassabis Counter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6fq4_uP7aM

Karpathy 80%: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2015883857489522876

Machines of Loving Grace: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

Anthropic LessWrong: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5aKRshJzhojqfbRyo/unless-its-governance-changes-anthropic-is-untrustworthy#1__In_private__Dario_frequently_said_he_won_t_push_the_frontier_of_AI_capabilities__later__Anthropic_pushed_the_frontier

Original Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claudes-constitution

New Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution

Kimi K2.5: https://x.com/Kimi_Moonshot/status/2016024049869324599

Societies of Thought, Google DeepMind Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10825

https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A new tool, with code written by an AI model, has gone omega-viral: Claude Cowork. But is the hype justified? What do the stats say on productivity? Where is the truth in a sea of noise? What is truth? Can we handle the truth? Where's Nemo?

https://matsprogram.org/s26-aie

Check out my new app! https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - Claude Cowork
06:48 - Productivity Speed-up + jobs
09:33 - Comparing Models
12:00 - Brittle AI Paper

Cowork Intro: https://x.com/claudeai/thread/2010805682434666759

'All of it': https://x.com/bcherny/status/2010813886052581538

'AGI' Claims: https://x.com/deepfates/status/2004994698335879383

Douglas Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOsNrV3bXtQ&t=2313s

Job Stats: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Evidence-of-an-AI-driven-shakeup-of-job-markets-is-patchy.pdf
Amodei Prediction: https://fortune.com/2025/05/28/anthropic-ceo-warning-ai-job-loss/

GenAI Traffic: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2009075877347512545

Illusion of Insight: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.00514
Entropy Exploration: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.14758
ProRL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24864

Genesis Mission: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/launching-the-genesis-mission/
https://deepmind.google/blog/how-were-supporting-better-tropical-cyclone-prediction-with-ai/

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

It’s probably not possible to satisfactorily condense a 12 month’s worth of weird progress in AI, as well as predictions for the year to come, into one video. But I’m gonna try anyway because it has been a very strange time.

http://matsprogram.org/s26-aie

My new app! https://lmcouncil.ai

Patreon Interview: https://www.patreon.com/posts/robot-in-your-27-146376094

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:34 - Reasoning Models … and limits
02:54 - A playable world
03:36 - Realism
03:50 - AI Slop gone mainstream
05:03 - DolphinGemma
05:39 - Public Mood
07:34 - AI Enlisted
08:30 - GPT-5
11:05 - Open Weight not out
13:00 - METR Breakout
17:30 - VASA-1
18:28 - Lateral Productivity
20:15 - 1 or 1000 benchmarks needed?
24:54 - Continual Learning + Altman on Superintelligence
28:08 - Automated Information Discovery ft AlphaEvolve

Hassabis on Generality: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2003097405026193809
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto

Gemini 3: https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif
Reasoning Trade-offs: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837

DolphinGemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09

Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/

METR Time Horizon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
Flaws: https://x.com/ShashwatGoel7/status/2002369517499105443
https://shash42.substack.com/p/how-to-game-the-metr-plot
https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2002203627377574113

GPT-5 - Altman phd in everything: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/business/chatgpt-rollout-problems

https://simple-bench.com/

AI Slop: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_3vxoJDD9k
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/dec/16/boost-for-artists-in-ai-copyright-battle-as-only-3-per-cent-back-uk-active-opt-out-plan

Survey: https://x.com/SearchlightInst/status/2001057144842387920/photo/1

Nvidia Nemotron: https://x.com/percyliang/status/2000608134205985169

OpenAI Compute Flywheel: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001363007209914399/photo/1
Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ

AI in Govt: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259

Benchmark Gaming: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/07/meta-exec-denies-the-company-artificially-boosted-llama-4s-benchmark-scores/

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/
https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf?utm_source=deepmind.google&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=gdm&utm_content=
Continual Learning: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf

Job Risk: https://archive.ph/20250708204527/https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

GPT4o: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1916889492172013989

Vasa-1: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/project/vasa-1/

Three Views: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2D45BNxnZjdpSX2j/ai-timelines
Turing Test: https://x.com/tunguz/status/1907185471211422147

Karpathy Year in Review: https://karpathy.bearblog.dev/year-in-review-2025/

LLM Brainrot: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.13928

Lateral Productivity: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/frontier-ai-trends-report

Emotional Quotient: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.08394

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

The condensed highlights of hours of AI lab leader interviews, model releases, Gemini 3 Flash insights (plus it’s hidden flaw), Hassabis’ ‘proto-AGI’ and much more…

https://matsprogram.org/apply?utm_source=ai-explained&utm_medium=youtube&utm_campaign=s26  

Also, do check out my new app: https://lmcouncil.ai

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Results
02:44 - But… the Flaw
04:49 - So Benchmarks are fake? No
07:37 - Spatial Reasoning + Hassabis
10:06 - Proto-AGI
12:07 - Minimal AGI
15:07 - Compute Slowdown
17:56 - New Data Paradigm

Gemini 3 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/

Hassabis Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto
Legg Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3u_FAv33G0
Pre-training Lead Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNGDAqFXvew
Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ
Brockman Video: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001336514786017417
Post-Training Reveal: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2001742530472534442

Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf
Patreon Hallucinations Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812
AA-Omniscience Benchmark: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.13029

lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks 
https://simple-bench.com/
https://x.com/scaling01/status/1999620587744813205

5.2 Codex Drop: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ac7c37ae-7f4c-4442-b741-2eabdeaf77e0/oai_5_2_Codex.pdf

OpenAI Compute Trend: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-350-billion-computing-cost-problem?rc=sy0ihq

Cramer Tweet/Response: https://x.com/BorisMPower/status/2001440650210976018

OpenAI Valuation: ​​https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-discussed-raising-tens-billions-valuation-around-750-billion?rc=sy0ihq

Indian Data: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/with-freebies-openai-google-vie-indian-users-training-data-2025-12-17/

TheInformation Data: https://x.com/theinformation/status/2001421225751351778

Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/
Sima 2: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/
Veo 3.1: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/

METR: https://metr.org/blohttps://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Full GPT-5.2 breakdown - did OpenAI reclaim the crown? A story of tokens, time and cost, plus 9 details you wouldn’t get just from reading the headlines.

https://www.youtube.com/@eightythousandhours

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
https://lmcouncil.ai

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:55 - Better than Human @ Professional Tasks?
04:42 - Test time Compute
07:05 - Benchmark Selection
09:32 - Simple Results + council comparison
13:01 - Long Context
13:52 - Self-Improvement
15:00 - 10 Years + New Models

Release Page: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2/

GPT 5.2 Benchmark Comparison: https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1pka1y9/gpt52_all_20_benchmarks_rankings_and_pricing/
https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif
https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

Charxiv: https://charxiv.github.io/#leaderboard

GDPval: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.04374
My vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oK5LxMaROSA

Kilpatrick: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1999270402712023158/photo/1

Noam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1999189845164667132

New Model in New Year: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-developing-garlic-model-counter-googles-recent-gains?rc=sy0ihq

10 Years of OpenAI: https://openai.com/index/ten-years/

GPQA: https://x.com/idavidrein/status/1841265634170278063

ARC-AGI 1-2: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/2/

Sunday Robotics: https://x.com/tonyzzhao/status/1991204839578300813

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

https://lmcouncil.ai