As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead | Before the Bell
Economists are expecting a sharp pick up in economic growth before the end of the year, despite earlier, pre-tariff weaknesses. News about more threatened tariffs notwithstanding, economists are looking past all that. Interestingly, that's the needed premise to support expectations for much stronger earnings growth from analysts into the end of the year. So future expectations are seeming to support where valuations are trading. 6,900 is now a realistic target by the end of the year for analysts. This elevated sentiment and sheer exuberance should be taken as a caution sign because markets are very, very over bought. Also on Wednesday, Nvidia became the first $4-Trillion company. Ever. Clearly, Nvidia is NOT dead. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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7-9-25 How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation
More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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7-9-25 Market Risk is Rising | Before the Bell
The big divergences between markets and their moving averages typically resolve themselves to the downside. There is now risk down to about 6,000 on the S&P, which would bring us back to the breakout prior to the all-time high. A correction would help reset the market's over bought condition. Volatility is down; that's a function of options trading, and no one seems to want to hedge portfolios against a downsized market. There is no risk control in portfolios presently because investors would rather chase the upside in markets. That's always a danger. A correction could come at any time. All the ingredients are in place, just waiting for a catalyst to get buyers out of the market and bring sellers back in. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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7-8-25 ETF's Are Eating the World
Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of Correction SEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About Leverage SEG-3: The Irony of ETF's SEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
South Africa