The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets have surged back to all-time highs—but now comes the key decision: chase the rally, or fade it? Lance Roberts breaks down whether this rally has staying power or if investors should be cautious at current levels. We analyze short covering vs. true accumulation, sector rotation, and the impact of falling oil prices and changing inflation expectations. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:01 - April Doing What It Does Best 3:16 - The Recent Correction is Over 4:50 - Don't Chase the Rally 10:03 - Why the Market Rebound was Stronger than Expected 13:35 - Why Behavioral Investing Leads to Poor Outcomes 16:57 - Technical charting of Over Sold / Over Bought Composite 19:39 - The Fear-Greed Composite 22:02 - Everyone Has a Reason to Hate the Rally 22:58 - Testing the Negative Narratives 26:33 - Secular Bull/Bear Periods Happen - How to Prepare? 28:33 - Why Panic is a Costly Mistake 33:00 - Bearish Sentiment Remains 35:27 - Don't Bail Out of This Rally 37:24 - Seven Portfolio Actions to Take Right Now ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Uz93eoE43pc ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Your Longevity Score: Are You Ready?" https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase This Rally" is here: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket #MarketRally #Investing #TradingStrategy #MarketOutlook

Markets have staged a powerful rally off the recent lows, reclaiming the 200-DMA and pushing to new highs. Historically, when markets recover that level within four weeks, forward returns tend to improve—and this time, the rebound happened in just three weeks. Momentum is strong, money flows have flipped positive, and moving averages are turning higher. So why not chase it? Because the market is now stretched. Relative strength is overbought, and prices are significantly extended above key moving averages. When markets get this far ahead of their trend, short-term pullbacks are common—even within bullish setups. Over the past two years, rallies like this have repeatedly reset back toward support before continuing higher. This doesn't signal a major selloff. It suggests a pause or correction that creates better entry points. From a portfolio management perspective, this is a time to stay disciplined: trim profits, rebalance risk, and raise some cash. Identify positions that lagged during both the decline and the recovery, and consider reallocating. Small adjustments now can position you to take advantage of the next pullback. Patience here may offer a better opportunity to add exposure at more favorable levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement

Longevity risk is now measurable. The Longevity Preparedness Index, developed by the MIT AgeLab, scores how ready you are to live a long life. The average result is just 60 out of 100, signaling a major gap in retirement planning. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain what drives that score, where most people fall short, and how to improve it. From Social Security timing to guaranteed income, flexible withdrawals, growth exposure, and healthcare planning, building a durable retirement plan requires multiple strategies working together. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - 8-ball Answers & Longevity Challenges 4:23 - Cap'n Crunch & Colorectal Cancer 6:27 - Longevity Preparedness Index 8:32 - Revolutionary Medical Testing 11:42 - Who Will Be Your Care Provider? 14:42 - Transition from Individualism to Collectivism w Care 17:51 - The Importance of Community: Transportation, Neighborhood 21:03 - Daily Activities & Physical Well-being 23:34 - How Do You Spend Your Days? 25:21 - Intellectually Stimulating 28:37 - How Will You Matter in Retirement? 29:38 - Finances in Retirement 32:50 - Worry About Running Out of Money in Older Age 35:05 - Knowing Where Your Money is Invested - and Why 36:35 - The Ability to Manage Day-to-Day Finances 39:35 - The Wellness Market 41:15 - AI Robots as care givers 43:38 - Moderate Physical Activity 45:09 - Is Your Home Well-prepared for Aging in Place? 48:58 - Dealing with Life Transitions 52:02 - Take Time to Reminisce 54:01 - Adapting to New Life Circumstances ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, April 18: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything-2/ -------- Watch our previous show, "What Will the Fed Do Next? " https://youtube.com/live/IflJyKIbe7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Rally 11%: What's Next?" is here: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: https://www.johnhancock.com/ideas-insights/longevity-preparedness-index/longevity-preparedness-score.html https://www.livingto100.com/calculator ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LongevityRisk #RetirementPlanning #FinancialPlanning #MITAgeLab #WealthStrategy

With inflation trends shifting, economic data sending mixed signals, and markets hovering near key levels, the big question is: what will the Federal Reserve do next? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's current dilemma—balancing inflation control with economic growth—and what it means for interest rates, equities, and bonds. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Markets Hit 5th All-time High for 2026 6:48 - Markets Up 11% from Bottom 11:35 - Pollen & Taylor Sheridan 16:25 - Allbirds & AI craze 20:12 - Market Turnover Velocity & SEC "oversight" 26:57 - Market Breadth & Growth to Value Rotation 31:22 - The Fed is Stuck 36:58 - The Tailwind for Fed Rate Cuts has Increased 39:02 - The Risk of Volatility Remains 41:19 - Markets Have Priced-in Iran ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/IflJyKIbe7s ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, April 18: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything-2/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Taxes, and Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/X2EdwIni6_8 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Rally 11%: What's Next?" is here: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketTrends #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #FedPolicy

Markets have surged 11% from recent lows after a powerful ten-day rally, pushing above key moving averages and approaching more overbought conditions. Momentum is strong, and buy signals are in place, but as markets stretch further from their averages, upside may become more challenging in the near term. A major difference in this cycle is the absence of a "death cross." The 50-day moving average never broke below the 200-day, and markets quickly reclaimed key technical levels. Historically, that type of setup points to stronger underlying support and lowers the probability of a full retest of recent lows. That said, short-term pullbacks are still possible. A move back to support could provide a better opportunity to add exposure, particularly as volatility risks begin to rise later in the year. The debate now: is this just a short-covering rally, or the start of a more durable advance? We break down the technical signals, momentum trends, and what to watch next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketTrends