The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts breaks down the growing stress in private credit markets, rising default risks, and the recent wave of gated withdrawals across major funds. With comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis gaining traction, investors are asking a critical question: are we facing Subprime Crisis 2.0? We examine what made the 2008 collapse so catastrophic—leverage, derivatives, and systemic contagion—and compare it to today's private credit landscape. While defaults are rising and liquidity concerns are real, the structure of private credit is fundamentally different. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - High Oil Prices are the Cure for High Oil Prices 5:54 - Markets' Extended Losing Streak Setting up for Bounce 12:21 - Private Credit vs Subprime - Gating Defined 21:03 - Estimated Impact of Private Credit on GDP 23:22 - Fiat Currencies in a Death Spiral? 27:17 - Why Foreign Central Banks Hold Dollar Reserves 30:39 - Why Would China Back the Renminbi w Gold? 34:21 - Why Treasury Auctions fo "Soft" 39:27 - With What Would Reserve Currencies be Replaced? 43:07 - The Context of Money & How Economies Work 46:23 - Commentary: Current Market Conditions ------ Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3vdXmMNXyV0 ------- Watch our previous show, "How to Beat the 4 Biggest Retirement Risks," https://youtube.com/live/1V4lwzyKDjg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Will AI Trigger The Next Great Depression?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/will-ai-trigger-the-next-great-depression/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell the Bounce Before the Next Drop," is here: https://youtu.be/68dbmAqKiGM ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #EnergyStocks #RiskManagement #PrivateCredit #FinancialCrisis #MarketRisk #Investing #CreditMarkets

Markets are down roughly 7% from their peak and under sustained pressure, with five consecutive weeks of negative returns—an unusually extended stretch that historically signals a near-term inflection point. Oversold conditions, weak momentum, and deeply negative money flows suggest a reflexive bounce is likely in the coming days. But investors should be cautious. This is not the end of the correction cycle. Lance Roberts breaks down why any near-term rally should be used to rebalance risk—not chase upside. With geopolitical catalysts like Iran tensions and oil price volatility acting as potential triggers, a sharp bounce could emerge quickly. However, that strength should be sold into as part of a disciplined portfolio strategy. We also examine the extreme deviation in energy stocks, where valuations—such as Exxon relative to Nvidia—have become stretched. Historically, these moves mean-revert, often sharply. If you're overweight energy, this may be the window to take profits and reduce exposure. Additionally, we discuss seasonal risks tied to midterm election cycles, where Q2 has historically been the weakest period for markets, suggesting further downside risk into the April–June timeframe. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/68dbmAqKiGM --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #EnergyStocks #RiskManagement

Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that's not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the four biggest threats retirees face: longevity, inflation, market volatility, and emotional decision-making, and more importantly, how to navigate them. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Rich's Dreams 2:03 - Dynamic Learning Series 3:02 - Easter Candy Inflation & Post-Covid Behaviors 7:31 - Panoramic Sugar Eggs & Peeps 11:08 - The Emotional Effects of Retirement 15:04 - Sequence of Return Risks 16:08 - Social Security & Longevity 19:16 - Market Volatility is Not Your Friend in Retirement 24:12 - Benefits of Working PT in Retirement 30:14 - Maintaining Standard of Living in Retirement 35:07 - Maintaining a Cash Well: HECM & Policy Loans 36:39 - Emotional Decision-making in Retirement 40:38 - The Retirement Risk Zone 42:29 - Handle Larger Expenditures & Debt Before Retirement 46:10 - Life in the "Fat Years" 47:13 - Chuck Norris & Quality of Life in Retirement ------ Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/1V4lwzyKDjg ------- Watch our previous show, "Will AI Trigger the Next Great Depression?" https://youtube.com/live/l6FM6v7SWTI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Will AI Trigger The Next Great Depression?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/will-ai-trigger-the-next-great-depression/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "MMarkets Breakdown or Bounce?" is here: https://youtu.be/PM1R1i-J384 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementRisks #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #Investing

Will artificial intelligence spark the next economic boom—or trigger a crisis rivaling the Great Depression? A growing debate on Wall Street is emerging after research scenarios like the "Global Intelligence Crisis" raised concerns about a potential AI-driven economic shock. The core question is simple but critical: Will AI create unprecedented productivity and prosperity, or will it displace jobs faster than the economy can adapt? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down both sides. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Why Risk Management is More Important Now than Ever 5:45 - Economic Data Showing Improvement 7:25 - Markets Continue to Challenge 200-DMA 11:13 - Portfolio Risk Sizing 14:35 - What is Beta? 18:49 - Why Investors Underperform Markets 20:21 - All We Really Have is a Rear View Mirror 22:03 - The Information Over-load Trap 23:48 - How to Take Risk Off the Table 26:41 - When the War in Iran Ends 28:39 - Will AI Trigger the Next Depression? 32:16 - The Global Intelligence Crisis 34:53 - The Rate at Which the Economic can Adapt to Change 37:15 - The Walmart Expansion Story 39:49 - How Fast & How Destructive 41:31 - What New Industry Did Not Exist pre-2005? 43:47 - Be Careful with Narratives ------ Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/l6FM6v7SWTI ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money & Your Questions Answered " https://youtube.com/live/ZNcU4j7XBPE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Will AI Trigger The Next Great Depression?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/will-ai-trigger-the-next-great-depression/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "MMarkets Breakdown or Bounce?" is here: https://youtu.be/PM1R1i-J384 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TradingStrategy #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #AIImpact #RecessionRisk

Markets are testing the 200-DMA from below, a key resistance level. Failure to break above could increase downside pressure, but end-of-quarter rebalancing (~$62B in buying) may provide near-term support. Momentum is oversold, with relative strength starting to improve. A confirmed buy signal and positive divergence could drive a move toward 6,700, with resistance at the 20-DMA. Stay patient—markets can remain oversold, but improving technicals suggest potential for a recovery into early summer. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/PM1R1i-J384 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TradingStrategy