The Real Investment Show Podcast

Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks

For four years, investors have been told the next crash was right around the corner. Russia-Ukraine, inflation at 9%, Fed rate hikes, Silicon Valley Bank, tariffs, AI fears, Iran tensions, and endless recession warnings all fueled bearish headlines. Yet despite every crisis narrative, the market has doubled from the October 2022 lows. This morning, we break down why markets continue to climb in the face of nonstop fear narratives, and what actually matters for long-term market direction: earnings growth and forward expectations. We also review the technical backdrop, including the MACD momentum indicator, buy and sell signals, overbought conditions, moving average deviations, and how technical analysis can help investors manage emotions, reduce risk, and improve portfolio discipline. Markets are never risk-free, but understanding trend, momentum, and earnings can help investors avoid costly emotional decisions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis

It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff are taking your questions live from the YouTube chatroom. From markets at all-time highs and rising pullback risk, to Fed policy, rates, and portfolio positioning, we're breaking down what matters most right now. With stocks extended, volume thinning out, and momentum showing signs of fatigue, is this a healthy pause or the start of a correction? What should investors and traders be doing right here? Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Rally, Oil Plunges 4:05 - AI Trade is Back - but watch for reversal 7:52 - Vanguard Bond Builders - Bonds vs ETF's 12:32 - Best Store of Cash for a Portfolio? 14:39 - Couples with Pensions 17:06 - How did you react to downturn in the market? 19:59 - Lump Sum vs Pension Payout? 21:15 - The Thing About High-Yield Bonds 23:15 - What About the "Bucket Strategy" for Managine Risk? 24:31 - What Happens if Pensions Go Broke? 26:12 - Technical - Is the MACD Ever Wrong (and what is it?) 28:14 - Technical - What is the difference between Absolute & Relative scores? 32:28 - Where Are Rotations Going Next? 33:33 - Why Aren't Nvidia & Palantir Part of This Advance? 35:32 - Are Gold Stocks a Decent Buy? 38:16 - Use of Inverse ETF's as Hedges 39:03 - Portfolio Over- & Under-weighting 39:58 - How to Work with RIA? 40:44 - What if U.S. Dissolves? 42:35 - Don't Worry; Be Happy 43:07 - Managing Stocks w Different Advisors 45:35 - What's Your Story? 46:20 - The Thing About Apple & Microsoft 50:48 - BOE Interest Rates & Impact on Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "AI Rally Nears Exhaustion," here: https://youtu.be/cievTNHiw6Y ------- Watch our previous show, "Investing vs Trading - Finding the Balance," https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement

Markets continue pushing to new all-time highs as AI stocks lead the rally higher, but momentum and money flow signals are beginning to weaken beneath the surface. While the bullish trend remains intact, overbought conditions are building and a near-term pullback or consolidation would not be surprising. Lance Roberts reviews why slowing money flows matter, what history says about momentum-driven rallies, and why patience, profit-taking, and risk management still matter even in strong markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/cievTNHiw6Y --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement

Investing and trading are often treated as opposing strategies, but the real advantage comes from knowing how to use both effectively. Long-term investing builds wealth through discipline and compounding, while trading can create short-term opportunities to enhance returns or manage risk. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down the key differences between investing and trading, when each approach makes sense, and how to structure a portfolio that incorporates both without letting emotion or overactivity take control. We discuss time horizons, risk management, position sizing, and how to avoid the common mistake of letting short-term trades derail long-term financial goals. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Hormuz Headlines & Market Gyrations 5:16 - Market Volume Spreads & Correction Targets 10:11 - The Story of Cinco de Mayo & Taco Tuesday 13:34 - Trading vs Investing 14:45 - Proposed Ban on Prediction Markets in Texas 16:07 - Zero Days to Expiration: The Ultimate Gamble 18:06 - Psychological Effects of Prediction Markets - the tax on the poor 21:18 - Who's Making the Money? 22:54 - Warren Buffett's Pile of Cash 25:36 - We Want to Believe Fundamentals Matter 28:04 - What Are Your Top-five Stocks? 30:05 - Binary Outcomes - All or Nothing 31:42 - Markets are Expensive 33:31 - When Buy & Hold Fails 36:10 - Protect Capital - The Value of Time 39:02 - Sequence of Returns Risk 40:14 - What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Cooling-Off Correction Ahead," here: https://youtu.be/LbNhP30VHio ------- Watch our previous show, "Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising," https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #Investing #Trading #PortfolioStrategy #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding