OhSoSpurs — The Tottenham Hotspur Podcast

Can Aston Villa accidentally cure Tottenham's goal drought? Professional analyst Enya says Spurs' worst number in the league — xG per shot — is about to meet one of the only defences bad enough not to punish it.

Jim and Enya preview Tottenham vs Aston Villa through the Gradient Sports data: the central-channel mismatch at the heart of Saturday's game, why the models give Spurs a 46% win chance, Van Hecke's elite line-breaking numbers and Van de Ven's quiet step forward, the set-piece continuity nobody's crediting, and the off-ball running stats that explain the Marmoush problem at Anfield.

Enya also delivers her honest schedule-strength caveat — and once you hear which teams Spurs have actually faced, the "easy fixtures" narrative falls apart.

The 82nd Percentile, our weekly premium data show with JJ, Enya and DJ, is live on Patreon — roughly 15 founder spots (£5/month for life) remain.

https://www.patreon.com/c/82ndPercentile/membership

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What if Tottenham's main problem isn't finishing? A Licence coach JJ says the real flaw is recognition — seeing the moment half a second too late — and it runs through every sliding-doors chance at Anfield.

Jim and JJ go player by player through the Liverpool game: Tosin's impressive first start and whether the Danso doubters (Jim included) got it wrong, Senesi's playmaking from centre half, the Udogie toe-poke behind McAllister's goal, the Archie Gray freeze-frame doing the rounds, Conor Gallagher's real value beyond the number 10 comparisons, and whether Marmoush can truly lead the line.

Then JJ puts his house keys on the table and explains his toothpaste theory of Spurs' season — once you've heard it, you won't watch the next game the same way.

The 82nd Percentile, our weekly data deep-dive with JJ, Enya and DJ, is live on Patreon — founder rate (£5/month for life) nearly sold out https://www.patreon.com/cw/82ndPercentile

Tactical, honest, from the training pitch. A Coach's View.

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Check out 82nd Percentile here and grab one of the final founders spots before they are gone - https://www.patreon.com/cw/82ndPercentile

Tottenham had 39 touches in Everton's box and forgot to shoot — how does that even happen? DJ's diagnosis: Spurs are trying to score the perfect goal when literally any goal would do.

Jim, Johnny and DJ work through the 0-0 with more affection than fury: the opening 20 minutes that had Jim welling up at the stadium (in a good way, mostly), the boos at full time and whether they were fair, the freeze-frame that proves Fernandes was secretly playing right back all along, and the members' question on whether Spurs should just pay Richarlison to go away. Then it's off to Anfield in the Carabao Cup, where Jim has banned all 0-0 predictions and DJ responds with a Joel Matip own-goal prophecy that must be heard to be believed.

Also featuring: correct Greggs sausage roll storage technique, a Dubravka shirt spotted in the wild, and the launch of The 82nd Percentile — our new data deep-dive show with JJ, Enya and DJ. First 100 sign-ups get it for £5/month for life.

Members' questions this week from Mr Pipe, Linda and Jonathan — Mayling and Ross, you're first up next time.

Considered, warm, panel-honest. The Originals.

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You can become of the 100 founding members here: https://www.patreon.com/cw/82ndPercentile

The first 100 founders will get a foudners price of £5 per month for life. It goes up to £8 for anyone after the first 100.

Why aren't Tottenham scoring, and is Sandro Tonali really to blame for it? A licence coach JJ and professional analyst Enya Collins say the data and the eye test agree — and it isn't Tonali.

Jim, Enya and JJ walk through Spurs 0-0 Everton from the system up: Archie Gray inverting from right back, Mateus Fernandes dropping into a back three, Van Hecke's progressive passing, and the half-space run that was on all first half. Enya's numbers show Tottenham won possession, progressive passes and touches in the box — 28 of them — and still lost on xG. JJ explains the David Moyes tweak that shut the midfield down after the break.

Then Jim asks the panel to tell him straight whether the £100m midfielder is the problem. The answer involves the 84th percentile, seventh in the Premier League, and a comparison with Rice and Caicedo you'll want to hear before the next Tonali pile-on.

Where the eye test meets the data. The 82nd Percentile.

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Is Solanke with Marmoush behind him really the fix for Tottenham's goal drought? Professional analyst Enya says the pairing everyone wants costs Spurs more than it adds — and that Marmoush can score 20 this season.

Jim and Enya walk through what a De Zerbi number nine actually does, Marmoush's first games in detail, why the missing piece is a creative 10 rather than a target man, and the breaking Mudryk injury news that changes the winger picture. Then a full Everton preview: cracking the Moyes low block, score predictions, and Tel's breakthrough moment.

They also get into whether De Zerbi has quietly lost authority over team selection — and once you hear the biomechanics discussion, you'll understand why Spurs players are suddenly sipping cherry juice.

Analyst.

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