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Investment demand for platinum remains extremely strong, with market fundamentals continuing to support platinum as a compelling investment.
Market tightness suggests that there is insufficient platinum availability.
By year end, above ground stocks are projected to provide less than three months' global demand cover. (Also watch attached Creamer Media video.)
Platinum bar and coin demand is expected to be 33% higher in 2026 than in 2025.
All the conditions that spurred the 2025 price rally are still very much in play.
Incoming emissions regulations are supportive of automotive demand for platinum.
The need for regional energy security, particularly in Europe and East Asia, is getting hydrogen demand going again.
Even potential demand drag for platinum catalysts possibly coming through from automotive or petrochemical perspectives would likely be more than offset by platinum investment.
These and many other points were made by World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) director of research Edward Sterck, who spoke to Mining Weekly following the publication of the Platinum Quarterly for quarter one of 2026, in which WPIC CEO Trevor Raymond notes that platinum's strong 2025 price performance and robust 2026 levels have increased global attention to platinum's investment potential.
Raymond points out that a far wider cohort of investors is now actively considering platinum's precious attributes and platinum demand is well insulated, the geopolitical Middle East headwinds notwithstanding.
"We're also seeing platinum already playing a vital role across many technologies underpinning the rollout of AI infrastructure – from optical communications to data storage," Raymond reported.
Mining Weekly: What are the key factors attributing to the fourth consecutive deficit forecast for 2026?
Sterck: There are a couple of key factors really. Firstly, supply is ultimately continuing to be extremely constrained. We've seen a pretty substantial increase in platinum group metal (PGM) prices over the last 12 months. Remember that the price rally started more or less a year ago. At one point we were up by almost over 200% and now we're slightly over 100% up on prices one year ago. But despite that price increase, we haven't really seen a meaningful change in supply outlook. Mine supply is fundamentally very, very limited by geological factors. These are, for the most part, deep-level underground mines. There's an intrinsic limitation in terms of the ability to flex output from those operations on a short-term or even a medium-term basis.
At the same time, we do see a little bit more flexibility in terms of recycling supply. We've got an increase around 9% year-on-year in terms of recycling supply outlook. But there are some potential headwinds to that in terms of credit availability and the availability of end-of-life vehicles and autocatalysts to be recycled. It is important to recognise that we do have some headwinds on the demand side of the equation but, for the most part, demand has proving to be extremely resilient. We're not projecting significant growth. Automotive is down 2% year-on-year. Jewellery demand is down around 12% from last year, which is largely due to slightly reduced demand from China, whereas in the rest of the world, we're expecting in most geographies, demand to remain at or above last year's levels.
Then, in terms of industrial demand, we've got a return to growth after, cyclically, a very weak 2025. The big swing factor this year is investment demand. I think it's important to emphasise, before I go into the detail, that actually investment demand remains extremely strong. It's just that we're not expecting the repeat of the massive inflows we saw last year into exchange stocks and exchang...