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The Transfer Flow Podcast

Theodore Knutson
The Transfer Flow Podcast
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  • Episode 144 - Evaluating Marc Guehi Alternatives for Liverpool + Chelsea DESTROY Barcelona
    On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the midweek Champions League action, from Chelsea’s statement win over Barcelona to Manchester City’s worrying dependence on Erling Haaland. Are the new league-phase games actually giving us useful information, or are red cards and rotation killing the stakes? Then we turn to Liverpool, whose defensive issues are starting to pile up. With Van Dijk aging, Konaté out of form and out of contract soon, and fullbacks rotating every week, what should they actually do in January? Patrick and Hayden each bring a centre-back target Liverpool should consider. Neel’s Man City Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-s-over-reliance-on-erling-haaland-is-crazier-than-you-think Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:38 How red cards ruin these league-phase games 03:16 What the points cutoffs actually look like 04:02 Marseille’s comeback & Newcastle’s European profile 05:07 Chelsea’s first half performance vs Barcelona 06:12 The red card + Estevao’s brilliant goal 07:51 Cucurella’s evolution 09:38 City vs Leverkusen: the Haaland dependency problem 10:37 What City did and didn’t learn from this loss 12:08 Ajax–Benfica & the Mourinho control template 13:20 Rayane Bounida and Promise David 14:21 Malik Tillman’s development 15:19 City’s possession and pressing questions 16:24 Tillman’s large role for the USMNT 17:55 Phil Foden + City missing KDB 19:04 What Cherki needs to become 19:56 Liverpool’s defensive mess + Guehi links 22:26 Fullback additions 23:02 The expiring contracts problem 24:09 Why Liverpool still need a CB despite signing Leono 24:48 The profile Liverpool should target 26:45 Hayden’s list of options 28:58 Hayden’s pick: Mario Gila 30:27 Liverpool can be flexible on age here 33:00 FBRef comparisons 34:16 Why expiring in 2027 matters 36:05 The challenge Liverpool are facing with squad building #liverpool #chelsea #championsleague #vandijk #arneslot #konate #premierleague #barcelona #newcastle #marseille #mancity #leverkusen #ucl #lfc #marcguehi #guehi #football #soccer #fyp #foryou
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  • Episode 143 - City's overreliance on Haaland is a BIG problem + Liverpool Lose AGAIN
    Patrick and Neel break down a wild weekend. Spurs fall apart at Arsenal, Thomas Frank’s plan makes no sense, and Ezra gives Arsenal a completely different look in attack. Then they move to Newcastle vs Man City where both teams create a ton but in totally different ways. Newcastle go brave in midfield, City lean even harder on Haaland, and the guys ask what happens if he isn’t there. Liverpool’s slide continues with more tactical confusion and another bad run of substitutions. They talk about what’s actually wrong and whether Slot can fix it. They wrap with the Milan derby and where Milan, Inter, and the rest of Serie A really stand. Enjoy! Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:32 Spurs’ bizarre setup vs Arsenal 02:46 What exactly was Spurs’ plan? 04:02 Arsenal break the U-shape circulation 05:25 Merino and Eze 06:18 Did Arsenal benefit from not having a traditional 9? 09:10 Spurs’ defending issues and blocked shots problem 11:04 Eze is exactly what Arsenal hoped for 12:33 Spurs’ attacking floor disappears 13:15 What can Frank actually fix? 13:49 Spurs’ in-possession issues and the long-ball alternative 15:04 Spurs need a simpler approach 16:15 Arsenal vs Bayern quick thoughts 16:48 Newcastle’s daring plan against City 17:54 Why Newcastle’s approach exposed City 19:52 City’s insane Haaland dependency 23:01 Why City’s system is unstable 24:07 If Haaland gets injured… 25:00 City’s lack of shot-getting wingers 26:26 Marmoush? 27:25 Doku without Haaland 28:21 Savio, Marmoush and City’s weird squad choices 29:14 Pep doubling down on heliocentric football 31:04 Newcastle deserve credit + City no longer feared 32:04 Liverpool’s collapse continues 33:39 The defensive chaos under Slot 34:40 Slot’s changes making things worse 36:05 Why Gravenberch at the base is a disaster 38:17 Can Slot resolve this? 39:49 Should Liverpool move on? 41:00 The Pep-overthinking comparison 42:22 January options 43:40 Italy roundup 44:13 Milan beat Inter + Pulisic hot run 45:00 Inter’s elite underlying numbers 45:50 Why Allegri’s haram-ball is unsustainable 48:42 Milan vs low blocks 49:30 Modric/Yashari midfield questions 50:40 Milan’s shot profile tells the whole story 51:02 Why nobody in Serie A looks like a title team (except Inter) 52:16 Why Inter should win… but might not 53:02 Inter’s aging squad and repeat issues 55:51 Chivu vs Inzaghi 56:45 A real mid-off #manchestercity #mancity #haaland #arsenal #tottenham #eze #liverpool #slot #arteta #pepguardiola #intermilan #acmilan #seriea #epl #premierleague
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  • Episode 142 - Ranking the 10 Best Midfielders in World Football + Where will Antoine Semenyo land?
    On this episode, Patrick and Hayden rank the 10 best midfielders in football for the 2025/26 season. They get into why Pedri is the clear number 1, the difficulties in ranking Caicedo, Declan Rice, and Vitinha. Next comes Dominik Szoboszlai and Fede Valverde, whose versatility makes them super valuable. Slots 7-10 differ for the guys, with Tchouaméni, Joao Neves, Bruno Grimaraes, Elliott Anderson, and Gravenberch all getting mentioned. Then comes Antoine Semenyo, who is rumoured to be available for £65m in January. Where are his landing spots, why have his numbers declined this season, and could a loan to Barcelona be in the cards? Enjoy! Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast 00:00 - Intro 01:49 - Establishing rules for the rankings 03:16 - Defining 6’s vs 8’s vs 10’s 04:46 - A Clear #1 - Pedri 05:22 - Injuries are his only downside 06:59 - La Masia’s magic 09:30 - The gold standard 10:16 - Declan Rice vs Caicedo 11:50 - Hayden was WRONG about Rice 12:59 - Caicedo over Rice? 14:27 - Rice’s progressive actions + Caicedo is hard to judge 16:58 - Both are super durable 18:28 - Vitinha second for Hayden? 21:50 - Vitinha runs the game like a manager would want 23:33 - Dominik Szoboszlai, but is he a midfielder? 26:07 - Comparison to Fede Valverde’s versatility 28:26 - Valverde as a leader 29:37 - 11 of 1 player as the best team in the world? 30:00 - Hayden’s remaining 7-10 (Tchouaméni, Joao Neves, Bruno Grimaraes) 32:10 - Who is 10th? 32:33 - Patrick’s 7-10 (Tchouaméni, Neves, Gravenberch, Eliott Anderson?) 36:20 - Contenders for the final spot 38:33 - Antoine Semenyo to leave Bournemouth this January? 40:04 - What teams does he make sense for? 41:00 - The price tag makes this difficult + numbers dropping this season? 43:26 - A loan move to Barcelona? 45:20 - Great fit on the current Bournemouth team 46:55 - Less minutes on his legs than his age would suggest 48:33 - Bournemouth’s talent exodus explaining the dropoff? #footballplayer #premierleague #barcelona #pedri #declanrice #caicedo #vitinha #joaoneves #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #laliga #realmadrid #psg #football #soccer #footballpodcast #foryou #fyp
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  • Episode 141 - Buy or Sell: Roma Top 2, Bundesliga Shakeup, and Forest Relegated?
    On this episode, Ted and Hayden go around Europe and play buy or sell on the biggest storylines outside the Premier League. Villarreal’s push toward Spain’s top three, Roma’s rebuild under Gasperini, and why the Bundesliga race behind Bayern looks completely different this season. They dig into whether anyone can get close to PSG, how Enrique has reshaped the squad, and what the depth in Ligue 1 really looks like this year. Then it shifts to recruitment, the mistakes that matter, what people get wrong about player evaluation, and how clubs actually improve their processes. The episode wraps with the Premier League relegation fight, Forest’s chances of staying up, and the teams that should be worried as the season grinds on. Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 – Intro and episode overview 02:26 – Villarreal’s rise and whether they can crack Spain’s top three 03:13 – Why their Champions League form muddies the picture 05:48 – Villarreal’s recruitment model and defensive identity 08:30 – Buy or sell on Villarreal finishing third 09:25 – Roma’s rebuild under Gasperini and the Serie A traffic jam 11:27 – Roma’s defensive ceiling and why second place is a reach 13:26 – Inter, Juve, Milan and the top-end parity in Italy 14:04 – Bayern’s insane metrics and the Bundesliga hierarchy 15:40 – Leverkusen’s early meltdown and fast correction 16:06 – Frankfurt’s upside and the challenges of young squads 17:20 – How Leipzig and Dortmund keep shifting week to week 18:10 – The injuries that could flip the Bundesliga race below Bayern 20:33 – PSG’s depth, fatigue and the reality of the title race 22:22 – Similarities to last season for PSG 23:16 – Shot profiles, xG gaps and how Ligue 1’s depth is changing 25:17 – What would it take for PSG to not win Ligue 1? 27:00 – PSG vs Bayern in how well they are run 28:32 – How coaching cycles open windows for challengers 29:45 – What you can see on our Patreon 31:55 – The challenges of player recruitment and the lessons we learn 33:55 – Buy or sell on Nottingham Forest staying up 35:01 – Sean Dyche and squad fit 36:01 – West Ham’s slide and the red flags in their recruitment 36:45 – Who will get relegated? 38:09 – Leeds, Brentford and the margins at the bottom 39:04 – Why West Ham might be the real danger team 43:20 – Wrap-up and Patreon plug
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  • Episode 140 - Should Liverpool Sell Mo Salah? + Can Marseille win Ligue 1?
    Patrick and Hayden head around Europe, starting in Spain where Atlético Madrid are quietly changing who they are under Simeone. Is this finally the version that sticks? Then it’s on to La Liga’s heavyweights to look at how Real Madrid’s new system has fixed their defensive issues, and why Barcelona’s press has completely fallen apart without Raphinha. In France, Marseille’s numbers under De Zerbi look seriously good, but can they actually push PSG over a full season? And finally, the big question: would Liverpool be better off selling Mo Salah this summer? Robino Vaz newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/this-18-year-old-striker-is-lighting-up-france Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro and episode overview 01:34 - Atlético Madrid’s evolution under Simeone 03:21 - What’s changed in Atleti’s possession and attack 04:55 - Julian Alvarez’s impact and tactical fit 07:42 - Atlético’s new ownership and transfer efficiency 12:32 - Comparing Atleti with Real Madrid and Barcelona 14:42 - Real Madrid’s new style under Xabi Alonso 16:36 - Barcelona’s press issues without Raphinha 19:21 - Why Real Madrid defend better than Barça 21:37 - How pressing and ball recoveries differ between the two 24:34 - Can Barcelona fix their defensive problems? 25:47 - Ligue 1 and PSG’s title race 27:20 - Marseille’s progress under De Zerbi 28:25 - PSG’s injuries and Vitinha's workload 30:01 - Marseille’s ceiling and what could hold them back 32:15 - Fatigue and pressing sustainability 35:22 - Strasbourg’s chaos and Ligue 1 contenders 38:32 - The Mohamed Salah question 39:15 - Should Liverpool sell Salah next summer? 41:24 - Patrick’s take on Salah’s numbers and Liverpool’s attack 43:42 - Where could Salah realistically go? 46:30 - Arne Slot’s challenges at Liverpool 47:55 - Squad depth and full-back problems 49:09 - Missed transfer opportunities and what’s next
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Transfer and team analysis, plus interviews with some of the best in the football business.
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