1061 episodes
- Mel Mattison joins Marty to unpack October's market selloff and why it may be the best buying opportunity since the Iran war drawdown. They cover rising Treasury yields, fiscal dominance, and why Kevin Warsh and the Fed can't hike without bankrupting the government. Mel explains why the AI trade isn't AI, why compute and semiconductors win regardless of which model leads, and how tokenization, stablecoins, and agentic payments threaten the banking float model. Plus Social Security, Medicare, the midterms, and ending the Iran war.
Mel on X: https://x.com/MelMattison1
Mel’s Book: https://www.melmattison.com/quoz
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
https://www.aven.com/bitcoin
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
https://drinksote.com/tftc
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos
Clips YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ
Website
https://tftc.io/
Newsletter
tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Twitter
https://twitter.com/tftc21
Instagram
https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/
Nostr
https://primal.net/tftc
Follow Marty Bent:
Twitter
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Nostr
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Newsletter
https://tftc.io/martys-bent/
Podcast
https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner - Bryan Jacoutot, commercial litigator at Clark Hill, joins Marty Bent to explain how Bitcoin timestamping through OpenTimestamps and SimpleProof can authenticate digital evidence in the age of generative AI deepfakes. They cover his proposed federal rules of evidence change, a rebuttable presumption of authenticity for hashed files, and how Screven County, Georgia hashes election results and drop box surveillance video into the Bitcoin blockchain. They also discuss FinCEN's retracted rule, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, the Bank Secrecy Act, and truth decay.
Bryan on X: https://x.com/BryanJacoutot
Clark Hill: https://www.clarkhill.com/people/bryan-f-jacoutot/
Simple Proof: https://www.simpleproof.com/The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
https://www.aven.com/bitcoin
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
https://drinksote.com/tftc
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos
Clips YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ
Website
https://tftc.io/
Newsletter
tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Twitter
https://twitter.com/tftc21
Instagram
https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/
Nostr
https://primal.net/tftc
Follow Marty Bent:
Twitter
https://twitter.com/martybent
Nostr
https://primal.net/martybent
Newsletter
https://tftc.io/martys-bent/
Podcast
https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner - France's debt problem, Europe moving against Chinese exports, Iran under pressure, and the AI and quantum FUD hitting Bitcoin. Marty and John Arnold go through the week.
🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com
In this episode:
France's fiscal situation and why short-term debt issuance is spreading
Europe pushes back on Chinese exports while the US pulls it closer
Iran's economy under sanctions and escalation risk after the Houthi strike
The Donroe Doctrine: Greenland, Iceland and Brazil's election
Treasury issuance, buybacks and the narrative around US economic data
OpenAI revenue numbers, AI math proofs and the quantum FUD aimed at Bitcoin
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - Touching grass after a weekend of hardware wallet and AI news
00:01:00 - France's debt cycle and the Macron problem
00:02:30 - Short-term issuance and yields across Europe
00:04:58 - Europe moves to block Chinese exports
00:08:17 - Taiwan Strait naval exercises and the US-China meeting
00:09:48 - Iran's economy and the oil minister's exit
00:11:34 - Houthi strike on Saudi airport and escalation risk
00:13:41 - The Donroe Doctrine and the National Security Strategy
00:14:13 - Iceland, Greenland and Brazil's Bolsonaro surge
00:17:07 - US economic data and Treasury issuance
00:20:12 - Bessent's buybacks and the long end of the curve
00:21:26 - OpenAI's revenue run rate and the Anthropic comparison
00:23:39 - AI math proofs and the pace of model progress
00:26:36 - Quantum FUD, Justin Drake and Yehuda Lindell on elliptic curves
00:30:00 - Why Bitcoin researchers are working on new signature schemes
00:33:41 - Wrap-up and next week
SUBSCRIBE
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TFTC #MartyBent #JohnArnold #Bitcoin #QuantumComputing #AI - Tom Luongo returns to break down why the Iran conflict was never really about Iran. Tom argues the war is a lever to dismantle the Eurodollar system and the old colonial powers of Europe, from Lloyd's of London pulling shipping insurance to the yen carry trade unwinding. We cover Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks, the bear flattener, France's bond market stress, Mark Carney and Canada, Judy Shelton at Treasury, the midterms, the dollar index breakout, and a provocative reframe of the claim that DARPA created Bitcoin.
Tom on X: https://x.com/TFL1728
Tom's Website: https://tomluongo.me/
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
https://www.aven.com/bitcoin
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
https://drinksote.com/tftc
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos
Clips YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ
Website
https://tftc.io/
Newsletter
tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Twitter
https://twitter.com/tftc21
Instagram
https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/
Nostr
https://primal.net/tftc
Follow Marty Bent:
Twitter
https://twitter.com/martybent
Nostr
https://primal.net/martybent
Newsletter
https://tftc.io/martys-bent/
Podcast
https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner - Susan Kokinda of Promethean Action returns to check in on the Trump economic agenda ten months after her last visit. She breaks down manufacturing job growth, tariffs, and reindustrialization heading into the midterms, plus the Iran blockade and Treasury's economic pressure campaign, the US-China relationship, and growing desperation in Europe and Canada. She also covers Judy Shelton's Treasury appointment, sound money and gold standard debates, stablecoin rulemaking, and what national banking looks like in the 21st century.
Susan on X: https://x.com/sjkokinda
Susan’s Substack: https://substack.com/@susankokinda1
Promethean Action: https://www.prometheanaction.com/
Promethean Updates: https://www.youtube.com/@PrometheanAction
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
https://www.aven.com/bitcoin
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
https://drinksote.com/tftc
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos
Clips YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ
Website
https://tftc.io/
Newsletter
tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Twitter
https://twitter.com/tftc21
Instagram
https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/
Nostr
https://primal.net/tftc
Follow Marty Bent:
Twitter
https://twitter.com/martybent
Nostr
https://primal.net/martybent
Newsletter
https://tftc.io/martys-bent/
Podcast
https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
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About TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast
TFTC is a podcast hosted by Marty Bent about Bitcoin. Join Marty, Editor in Chief of "the best newsletter in Bitcoin", as he sits down to discuss Bitcoin with interesting people.
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