Squawk Box Europe Express

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq post new record highs as investors signal hopes for an end to the ran conflict. The positive sentiment has also affected Asian equities with the Nikkei leading gains. The U.S. and Iran are expected to resume peace talks in Pakistan next week with Israeli and Lebanese leaders set for ceasefire discussions later today. We hear from a slew of European policy makers at the IMF Spring Meetings about the risks of a prolonged conflict. French finance minister Roland Lescure and Bundesbank governor Joachim Nagel tell CNBC they must remain flexible to rolling developments.
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U.S. President Trump says peace talks with the Iranian regime could resume in Pakistan within days. Speaking to CNBC at the IMF spring meetings, Pakistani finance minister Muhammed Aurangzeb said he was optimistic for a diplomatic solution to the crisis. The IMF has slashed its global growth forecast outlining three scenarios – weaker, worse or severe. IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas tells CNBC that even the best outcome would feature a ‘very significant downgrade’. Chip maker ASML hikes it FY sales guidance to €40bn on strong A.I. demand. Luxury giant Kering posts a narrow Q1 miss due to weaker Gucci sales and faltering demand in the Middle East.
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The U.S. navy begins its blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. However, there are signs of further dialogue which have helped crude prices to drop back under $100 per barrel. President Trump says the “appropriate people” in Tehran have communicated that they want to strike a deal. The optimism is felt on Wall Street with the S&P 500 erasing its losses since the start of the conflict while Asian equities are also in the green overnight. In luxury news, LVMH sales miss quarterly expectations as the Iran crisis weighs. The firm’s U.S. shares closed 3 per cent in the red.
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Following failed U.S.-Iran peace talks in Islamabad over the weekend, Washington moves to blockade ships exiting or entering Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices surge on the news while Asian markets move into the red. President Trump says the blockade is aimed at eliminating Iranian crude exports from the market. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is ousted after 16 years in power with Peter Magyar’s centre-right Tisza party winning a two-thirds super majority vote.
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U.S. President Trump accuses Tehran of not honouring the ceasefire with the Strait of Hormuz remaining firmly shut. Israel has said it was willing to hold peace talks with Lebanon, despite continuing to target Hezbollah sites in the country. Crude prices remain below the $100-mark despite Saudi Arabia claiming Iranian attacks on its Red Sea pipeline have erased up to 700,000 barrels a day from the market. European equities are due to end the week firmly in positive territory with investors clinging onto hope the Middle East ceasefire will hold. Stateside, the S&P 500 is on course to post its best weekly performance since November.
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