Daniel Davis Deep Dive

• Putin will NEVER meet w/Zelensky /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Patrick Henningsen

  The discussion centers on the implausibility and strategic dysfunction surrounding the proposed Trump–Putin summit and the broader conflict dynamics involving Ukraine. Key themes include:🔴 U.S. Ownership of the WarBiden is deeply involved in the Ukraine war, supplying weapons, intelligence, and support—thus, he "owns" the war.Critics argue he should stop deflecting blame onto his predecessor (Trump) and accept responsibility as commander-in-chief.🟡 Putin–Zelensky–Trump Meeting? Highly UnlikelyDespite Trump suggesting a trilateral summit (with Zelensky joining him and Putin), the prospect is highly improbable:Russia considers Zelensky illegitimate (term expired, no elections).Putin will not agree unless Zelensky is already prepared to accept Russia’s demands—a scenario seen as extremely unlikely.Zelensky’s motivation: He wants a media spectacle to reframe himself as a global hero, which Russia sees as political theater, not diplomacy.🔵 Internal Pressures on ZelenskyZelensky cannot make significant concessions without risking a mutiny or backlash from Ukrainian hardliners and nationalists.His government is seen as out of mandate, fragile, and threatened from within.Russia is well aware of this and sees direct negotiations with him as a waste of time.⚪ Critique of Trump’s RoleAnalysts argue Trump lacks understanding of the war's context, history, and stakes.Meeting Putin without a substantive grasp of the conflict could be meaningless.There’s no new U.S. diplomatic position or detail to suggest this is a turning point.🔶 U.S. and Allies’ Strategy: Leverage Through PressureFigures like Mike Gallagher and Lindsey Graham frame Trump's position as strong, claiming:Threats of sanctions and military deployments (like nuclear subs) gave Trump negotiating power.Gallagher claims Putin "blinked" due to these pressures.Analysts dispute this narrative, arguing:Russia isn’t conceding due to U.S. threats.Leverage-based approaches have failed repeatedly and reflect a flawed understanding of Russia’s position and resilience.⚫ The Flawed U.S. PlaybookU.S. hardliners (and some European allies like the UK) cling to outdated Cold War strategies:Relying on sanctions, military posturing, and time to "break" Russia.Believing that economic and military pressure alone can bring Moscow to its knees.These policies ignore:Russia’s strategic patience and internal unity.Global shifts in oil trade (e.g., India reselling Russian oil).The ineffectiveness of sanctions and the potential for backlash (e.g., targeting India and China with secondary sanctions).🔺 Conclusion: No Breakthrough, Just StagnationWithout new U.S. policy direction or understanding, the situation is set to stagnate.Analysts predict the same cycles repeating into 2026 or beyond, with little progress.Current approaches are seen as performative, disconnected from geopolitical and military realities, and ultimately ineffective at resolving the conflict.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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• U.S. Strategy Towards TAIWAN: Assist or NOT? /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Jennifer Kavanaugh

  U.S. Strategy Towards TAIWAN: Assist or NOT? /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Jennifer KavanaughSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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• Trump NOT STRONG ENOUGH /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Larry Johnson

  The discussion outlines Russia’s growing military advantage in Ukraine, the West’s lack of effective defenses against certain Russian capabilities, and Moscow’s deterrence posture through systems like the “dead hand.”Putin frames NATO’s eastward expansion—particularly treating Ukraine as a de facto member since the late 1990s—as the root cause of the conflict, citing NATO training, military exercises, and the use of Ukrainian bases as evidence.On the Western side, there’s political friction: Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán, once a strong Trump supporter, now doubts Trump’s ability to rein in Europe or change Ukraine policy, suggesting Western leaders can manipulate Trump while he remains focused mainly on financial deals.Trump’s actions, including accelerating a decision deadline and surrounding himself with hawkish advisers, are seen as hardening Kremlin positions, reducing diplomatic options, and potentially pushing the war toward a more dangerous phase.On the battlefield, Russia is advancing in key areas, tightening control over supply routes, and inflicting heavy Ukrainian casualties—reportedly matching Russian figures—alongside severe desertion rates.Analysts warn that logistical pressure, psychological fatigue among long-serving troops, and Russia’s deliberate targeting of supply lines could cause Ukraine’s military to collapse within months.If this happens, it could lead to a decisive Russian victory and terms of surrender, undermining NATO’s credibility and possibly threatening its survival, while risking further escalation—especially if the UK or others launch attacks on Russian assets.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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• Col Doug Macgregor: Russia's Warning to U.S. & NATO

  Col Doug Macgregor: Russia's Warning to U.S. & NATOSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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• Trump Issues New Tariff Threat Against India Ahead of Friday's Deadline /Andrei Martyanov

  The discussion is a scathing critique of U.S. foreign and military policy, especially as it relates to the conflict in Ukraine and the approach toward Russia. The key speaker—Andrei Marti—argues that:Washington lacks strategic understanding: U.S. policymakers and military leaders, brought up in a disconnected environment, do not understand real war, war economies, or long-term strategy. They rely on flawed analysis and unrealistic assumptions.Sanctions backfiring: Russian resilience has increased under Western sanctions. Many Russians even joke that sanctions accelerate their independence from the West. Countries like India and China are watching and adapting, with China actively reducing its U.S. Treasury holdings.Trump’s role: Trump is portrayed as clueless and dangerously incompetent, accelerating global shifts without understanding the consequences. His foreign policy is labeled as performative and counterproductive, weakening U.S. credibility.U.S. military leadership is ridiculed: Retired generals like Ben Hodges are called out for their unrealistic assessments of the war, such as claiming Russia is failing because it hasn't taken a single town. Marti argues that these figures lack real combat experience and misrepresent facts on the ground.No real strategists in Washington: According to Marti, U.S. military and policy elites suffer from a fundamental lack of understanding of military realities. Many American generals are considered a "meme" in Russia due to their detachment from real war conditions.Secondary sanctions won’t work: Analysts like Rebecca Grant are criticized for pushing secondary sanctions without explaining how they would actually shift Russian behavior. The belief that economic pressure alone will force Putin to act against his own interests is seen as naïve and baseless.Only a few understand Russia: Marti highlights Colonel Lester Grau as one of the only credible U.S. military figures with actual knowledge of Russia, based on experience and language skills. Most so-called "experts" are dismissed as unqualified.Overall Message: The U.S. foreign policy establishment is delusional and strategically bankrupt, clinging to sanctions and narratives that ignore military realities and geopolitical shifts. Meanwhile, Russia adapts, mocks Western missteps, and waits for the inevitable collapse of flawed American policies.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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