UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Shane drops by to reflect on this week’s primary election results and highlight implications to the midterms in November. We also discuss whether the US and Iran can finalize a deal over the next 60 days to end the conflict. Plus, a look at this week’s legislative developments and gridlock around a housing and voting bill.

Technology stocks have had another episode of weakness, with trading in the South Korean market suspended after an 8% decline. This is still not enough to change perceptions of consumer spending —yesterday’s US data was a reminder that monthly cash savings have provided the resources to support consumer spending. However, a moderation of real world investment in tech does have economic implications, not least because tech investment has cannibalized non-tech investment.

Gary Rozier, Senior Managing Director and member of the Real Assets Management Team at Blue Owl Capital is hosted by Jon Woloshin, UBS CIO Americas Real Estate & Lodging Equity Strategist, at the 1285 podcast studio in New York for a wide-ranging conversation on the landscape for net-lease Investing. Gary and Jon discuss key considerations for net-lease investors, the types of properties best suited for a triple net-lease structure, among other timely topics in this space.

Crude oil futures reached pre-war levels, anticipating future oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Current oil flows are only a fraction of pre-war levels, and oil refineries refine actual oil, not hypothetical future oil. Consumer (refined) gasoline prices in the US remain around a third higher than pre-war prices (in the UK, petrol prices are around 10% higher, reflecting different tax structures). Prices should fall over time, but the potential political cost has provoked the ire of US President Trump.

Having recently attended the UBS Asian Investment Conference in Hong Kong, Alejo Czerwonko, CIO for Emerging Markets Americas, stops by the studio to share reflections and takeaways. We cover some key points of interest from the conference, including how factors such as geopolitics and AI are influencing the region. Plus, how the overall experience reshaped Alejo’s investment views. Host: Daniel Cassidy