Pat Mayo Experience

Pat Mayo is joined by Geoff Feinberg, Tim Anderson, Rob Pizzola, and two-time defending champion Cam Stewart for the annual NFL Regular Season Win Totals Snake Draft. The crew drafts their 6-team portfolios, breaks down division win totals, analyzes major offseason shifts, and debates season-long futures. Plus, a live courtroom edition of Judge Cust resolving a workplace sales tax dispute.


Draft Results
Cam: Ravens, 49ers, Cowboys, Saints, Buccaneers, Browns
Geoff: Rams, Chargers, Texans, Vikings, Colts, Jets
Pat: Bills, Broncos, Bengals, Falcons, Giants, Raiders
Cust: Seahawks, Chiefs, Jaguars, Bears, Commanders, Titans
Rob: Lions, Eagles, Patriots, Packers, Steelers, Panthers
Jared (Undrafted leftovers): Dolphins, Cardinals


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#NFLDFS #DraftKings #FantasyFootball #NFL2026 #PatMayoExperience #UDPartner


CHAPTERS


0:00 1960s Batman Catwoman Trivia
0:50 Welcome to the Annual NFL Win Totals Draft
1:35 Cam’s Home Reno & Off-Season Updates
2:40 Super Dave Osborne & Generational Gaps
6:00 YouTube Golf Talk & Jeff's First Tee
7:35 Cam’s 401 U-Haul Story
10:50 Round 1 Picks: Ravens, Rams, Bills, Seahawks, Lions
19:20 Round 2 Picks: Eagles, Chiefs, Bengals, Chargers
27:50 Round 3 Picks: 49ers, Cowboys, Texans, Broncos, Jags
30:35 Round 4 Picks: Patriots, Packers, Bears, Falcons, Vikings
36:50 Round 5 Picks: Saints, Buccaneers, Colts, Giants, Commanders
40:40 Round 6 Picks: Steelers
45:05 Courtroom of Judge Cust: The Out-of-State Boat Registration Dispute
48:50 AI Verdict: Pat vs. Cam Browns/Steelers Bet
50:15 Round 6 Picks Continued: Panthers, Titans, Jets, Raiders, Browns
54:10 1960s Hollywood Trivia & Burgess Meredith Debate
57:40 Full Draft Recap & Win Total Odds
1:02:00 The Joe Alt Fake Injury Prank
1:04:20 2026 Bold NFL Predictions
1:06:50 Classic Literature Trivia & Outro Debate


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Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Pat Mayo, Connor Allen, and Ryan Noonan break down the Opening Game of the NFL season between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks. The guys run through the spread (+3.5 / -3.5), total (44.5), SharpStack +EV prop projections, an official 4-leg Underdog slip paying 10/1, and bonus tackle props.

4FOR4/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account.
TAIL the Underdog entry from the show: https://play.underdogsports.com/vgwg/srgporbb

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CHAPTERS
00:00 Bears Stadium Relocation Debates
00:41 Welcome to PME | Patriots at Seahawks Preview
01:33 NFL Futures & Defensive Rookie of the Year Sleepers
04:46 Patriots (+3.5) at Seahawks (-3.5) & Under 44.5 Handicap
10:36 George Holani Player Prop Angle
13:07 SharpStack +EV Board & Jaxon Smith-Njigba Props
15:45 Cooper Kupp & TreVeyon Henderson Props
20:06 Official 4-Leg Underdog Slip ($111 to win $1,100)
20:46 Drake Maye Passing Line & Game Script
22:01 IDP / Tackle Props: Craig Woodson & Ernest Jones
23:25 4for4 Week 1 Prop Release Schedule & Outro

Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Pat Mayo, Geoff Feinberg, and Tim Anderson make their game picks against the spread for every matchup on the NFL Week 1 slate. The guys run through their early line leans, debate Super Locks and Survivor Pool strategy, and hand the floor over to Judge Cust to rule on lightly worn denim, Buc-ee's bag policies, and Rob Thomas refusing to play the hits.

4FOR4/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account
Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW

Subscribe, Rate and Review the PME
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH

FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK
Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mayomedianetwork/
TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network
YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN

#NFL #NFLPicks #Week1Picks #SportsBetting #PatMayoExperience #UDPartner

CHAPTERS
0:00 Cold Open: Cust's Giants Hot Take
2:05 Week 1 Picks & Survivor Setup
3:45 Cust's Perfect Survivor Season Recap/Last Year's ATS Standings & Results
6:55 Show Schedule & YouTube Memberships
10:45 Patriots at Seahawks
17:15 Cust’s Hateful Eight Teams
20:20 Rams vs. 49ers (Melbourne, Australia)
28:00 The Glory of Week 1 Sunday
32:05 Buccaneers at Bengals
37:30 Saints at Lions
40:45 Jets at Titans
52:35 Ravens at Colts
1:00:25 Cust Corner: The All-Season Theme Park
1:13:20 Cust Corner: Crosswalk Bridges Invention
1:24:00 Falcons at Steelers
1:29:35 Bears at Panthers
1:35:05 Browns at Jaguars
1:40:50 Bills at Texans
1:44:25 Judge Cust: Washing Lightly Used Denim
1:47:10 Judge Cust: Buc-ee's Bag Policy Grievance
1:51:15 Judge Cust: Matchbox 20 & Rob Thomas Concert
1:58:50 Dolphins at Raiders
2:05:05 Packers at Vikings
2:12:25 Commanders at Eagles
2:17:15 Cardinals at Chargers
2:22:55 Cowboys at Giants
2:29:05 Broncos at Chiefs
2:35:45 Week 1 Survivor Picks
2:38:15 Week 1 Super Locks
2:40:05 Cust’s Free Money Teaser
2:43:30 Famous Jewish Running Backs
2:45:30 Studio Intruder


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Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Pat Mayo welcomes Mike Leone from Establish The Run to break down how to win at NFL Daily Fantasy Football. They discuss the evolution of modern DFS, what contest sims have taught high-stakes players, contest selection, how to build proper game stacks (small field vs. large field), running back vs. wide receiver variance, flipping the build, and managing variance and expectations over a full NFL season.



4FOR4 DFS TOOLS/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo



2026 DraftKings Strategy with Tambo: https://youtu.be/SPjmh9bxUF4



Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account



Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW



Subscribe, Rate and Review the PME

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FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK



Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/

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YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN



#NFLDFS #DraftKings #FantasyFootball #NFL2026 #PatMayoExperience #UDPartner



TIMESTAMPS



0:00 Early Season Uncertainty & Double Leverage

1:10 Welcome to PME: Mike Leone & Modern DFS Evolution

2:15 How DFS Changed Over the Last Decade

3:15 Is "Play the Best Plays" Dead in Cash Games?

4:00 What Contest Sims Teach Us About Game Theory

5:05 Balancing Chalk vs. High Ceiling Contrarian Plays

7:00 Small-Field High Stakes (The Thunderdome) vs. Large-Field GPPs

8:05 Contest Selection: Setting Realistic Sweat & Win Expectations

10:10 Managing Emotions & Avoiding Negative EV "Safe" Builds

13:10 Stacking Strategy: Large Field vs. Small Field Lineup Construction

14:25 Massive Game Stacks & Slates with Low Totals

16:10 Overlooked High Team Totals in Low Game Total Matchups

17:45 Concentrated Offenses vs. Spread-Out Passing Attacks

18:25 4for4 Tools & Momentous

20:20 Identifying Highly Concentrated NFL Offenses for DFS

22:30 Building from Scratch: $100 Single Entry Blueprint

24:50 When to Eat Chalk: RB vs. WR Variance

26:25 Stacking Teammates Without the Quarterback

27:20 Davis Mattek Hype Trains & Terrence Ferguson Jokes

29:35 Correlating Running Backs with Defenses

30:20 Same-Team RB + WR Stacking

32:45 Tight End Strategy: Cheap Punts vs. Double Tight End Builds

33:30 Flipping the Build & Finding Compounding Leverage

37:35 Base Projections vs. 85th-100th Percentile Ceiling Outcomes

41:00 How to Pick DFS Defenses (Sim Rules & Pressure Spots)

44:05 Buying Early on Coaching Changes, New Roles & Unknowns

47:55 CarGurus & Shopify

50:05 Exploiting O-Line Injuries & Turnover-Prone Matchups

51:35 Week 1 DFS Traps & Early Pricing Dynamic

53:05 Season-Long & DFS Debate: Kenneth Walker, Derrick Henry & RBs

56:45 Chase Brown & DJ Moore Outlook

1:01:05 Week 1 Spot: DJ Moore vs. Houston Texans

1:02:25 Bankroll Variance, 2v2 Decisions & Long-Term EV

1:05:05 Selecting Between Multiple Builds for Single Entry

1:06:50 Mike Leone's Content Schedule at Establish The Run

1:07:45 Wrap-Up: Final Takeaways & Managing Expectations



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Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Pat Mayo and professional bettor Rob Pizzola dive deep into the booming world of prediction markets ahead of the NFL season. Learn the core differences between traditional sportsbooks and exchanges, maker vs. taker fee structures, how to leverage the wisdom of crowds, and why price sensitivity gives casual bettors a massive edge.



4FOR4/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo



Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account



Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW



Subscribe, Rate and Review the PME

Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes

Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH



FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK



Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/

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TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network

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#NFLBetting #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #PatMayo #PatMayoExperience #UDPartner



CHAPTERS



0:00 - INTRO

0:50 - Welcome to PME: How to Bet Series

2:05 - Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks: Vig & Fees

3:00 - Market Maker vs. Market Taker Explained

5:15 - Always Getting a Two-Way Market (Yes/No)

7:05 - The Sharp vs. Casual Edge & Overround

8:45 - Volume Comparison & Source of Truth

11:15 - Why Prediction Markets Are Exploding Nationally

13:45 - Prediction Markets vs. European Betting Exchanges

15:35 - CFTC Regulation & Legal Landscape

18:10 - Utility of "Wisdom of Crowds"

22:15 - Insider Information & Trading in Non-Sports Markets

24:35 - Sports Integrity vs. Information Markets

27:10 - Sportsbook vs. Exchange Marketing Battles

28:20 - NFL Strategy: Early Week Betting & Finding Value

29:35 - Counterparty Risk & Trading Against Sharps

32:00 - Debunking the Market Maker Myth

34:25 - How Casuals Should Prepare for NFL Season

36:15 - Reading Lines, Spreads & Order Books

37:25 - NFL Sunday Night Liquidity Expectations

40:05 - Shared Liquidity Across State Lines

43:15 - Pricing Errors, Bots & Misbonds Explained

46:00 - The MLB Extra-Innings Settlement Glitch

48:20 - Peer-to-Peer Reality vs. Advanced Syndicates

50:45 - Traditional Sportsbooks vs. Prediction Market Intimidation

52:15 - In-Game Price Swings & Real-Time Probability Graphs

55:20 - Pop Culture & Specialty Markets

57:15 - Tax Realities & Legal Advice Considerations

58:35 - Golden Rules: Bankroll Management & Market Caution

1:00:05 - Hedging Bets & In-Tournament Golf Trading

1:02:25 - Combining Sportsbooks & Prediction Markets for Max Edge



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SHOPIFY — With Shopify, nothing stands between your idea and a real business. So go make it one. Start your free trial at SHOPIFY.COM/patmayo

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