2258 episodes
NFL Prediction Markets 101: Price Shopping, Market Making & Winning Strategies
2026/09/03 | 1h 4 mins.Pat Mayo and professional bettor Rob Pizzola dive deep into the booming world of prediction markets ahead of the NFL season. Learn the core differences between traditional sportsbooks and exchanges, maker vs. taker fee structures, how to leverage the wisdom of crowds, and why price sensitivity gives casual bettors a massive edge.
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#NFLBetting #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #PatMayo #PatMayoExperience #UDPartner
CHAPTERS
0:00 - INTRO
0:50 - Welcome to PME: How to Bet Series
2:05 - Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks: Vig & Fees
3:00 - Market Maker vs. Market Taker Explained
5:15 - Always Getting a Two-Way Market (Yes/No)
7:05 - The Sharp vs. Casual Edge & Overround
8:45 - Volume Comparison & Source of Truth
11:15 - Why Prediction Markets Are Exploding Nationally
13:45 - Prediction Markets vs. European Betting Exchanges
15:35 - CFTC Regulation & Legal Landscape
18:10 - Utility of "Wisdom of Crowds"
22:15 - Insider Information & Trading in Non-Sports Markets
24:35 - Sports Integrity vs. Information Markets
27:10 - Sportsbook vs. Exchange Marketing Battles
28:20 - NFL Strategy: Early Week Betting & Finding Value
29:35 - Counterparty Risk & Trading Against Sharps
32:00 - Debunking the Market Maker Myth
34:25 - How Casuals Should Prepare for NFL Season
36:15 - Reading Lines, Spreads & Order Books
37:25 - NFL Sunday Night Liquidity Expectations
40:05 - Shared Liquidity Across State Lines
43:15 - Pricing Errors, Bots & Misbonds Explained
46:00 - The MLB Extra-Innings Settlement Glitch
48:20 - Peer-to-Peer Reality vs. Advanced Syndicates
50:45 - Traditional Sportsbooks vs. Prediction Market Intimidation
52:15 - In-Game Price Swings & Real-Time Probability Graphs
55:20 - Pop Culture & Specialty Markets
57:15 - Tax Realities & Legal Advice Considerations
58:35 - Golden Rules: Bankroll Management & Market Caution
1:00:05 - Hedging Bets & In-Tournament Golf Trading
1:02:25 - Combining Sportsbooks & Prediction Markets for Max Edge
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2026/09/03 | 56 mins.Pat Mayo, Geoff Feinberg, and Keith Stewart (ReadTheLine.com) break down the 2026 Presidents Cup Captain's Picks, recap the Golf Channel selection show disaster, debate Team USA and International team roster fits, discuss how to fix the event, and preview the Omega European Masters with outrights and FRL bets.
Get 25% off the Rabbit Hole at https://betspertsgolf.com/mayo with code “MAYO”
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account
Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW
Join Keith’s Newsletter: https://www.readtheline.com/subscribe/
Subscribe, Rate and Review
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK
Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mayomedianetwork/
TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network
YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
⛳ PME Omega European Masters Bets
WINNER
Marco Penge — 22/1
David Puig — 45/1
Fabrizio Zanotti — 110/1 (Each-Way: 8 Places)
Joel Girrbach — 110/1 (Each-Way: 8 Places)
First Round Leader (FRL) Bets
Guido Migliozzi — 60/1
Thriston Lawrence — 66/1
Joel Girrbach — 80/1
Danny Willett — 100/1
CHAPTERS
0:00 INTRO
0:35 Presidents Cup Selection Show: An Absolute Disaster
1:40 Why Did the Captain's Picks Show Need 90 Minutes?
3:05 Pat’s Radical Fix for the Selection Broadcast
4:25 Reality TV Tropes & Presidents Cup Identity Crisis
5:50 Was Brandt Snedeker Bullied into the Jackson Koivun Pick?
7:05 The Ryder Cup vs. Presidents Cup Connection & Jim Furyk
8:20 Does Jacob Bridgeman Actually Fit Medinah No. 3?
9:15 Finding Team USA Pairings: Who Plays with Scottie Scheffler?
14:05 Analyzing Team USA’s 6 Captain’s Picks
15:20 The Jacob Bridgeman Controversy: Over/Under 1.5 Future Cups?
16:45 Team USA Roles: Alternate Shot, Fourball & Pod Structure
18:50 Why Bridgeman Over Ryan Gerard? Floor vs. Ceiling Debate
21:10 Betting the Presidents Cup: USA Odds & Montreal 2024 Flashbacks
22:15 Ryan Gerard's Case, Ball-Striking & Medinah Setups
24:10 Medinah Official Scorecard: Par 70, 7,548 Yards & Bomb-and-Gouge
25:35 Why Didn't They Pick Driving Distance (Thorbjornsen/Brennan)?
28:10 Koivun's Ceiling & Snedeker's Analytical Strategy
29:00 Why Was Jake Knapp Completely Overlooked?
30:05 Team Europe's Ryder Cup Adare Manor Gathering
31:10 International Team Rosters & Color Scheme Slander
32:05 The Challenge of Multilingual Team Dynamics
32:35 Christian Bezuidenhout's Pick & The Singles Matchups Loophole
34:05 Why Didn't Mike Weir Target Younger International Talent?
36:30 Medinah Redesign: The 16th Hole & Raw Distance Requirements
37:45 Nick Taylor's Inclusion & Playing the Youth Movement
40:35 Keith on the PGA Tour's Future Schedule Changes (LACC & Sleepy Hollow)
44:50 The Ultimate Fix: Should the Presidents Cup Become Co-Ed?
47:45 Solheim Cup 2026 Preview: Team Europe vs. Team USA Picks
49:35 Megan Kang, Rose Zhang & Team Dynamics in the Netherlands
50:50 Omega European Masters Preview: Crans-sur-Sierre Breakdown
52:00 Pat Mayo's Outright Bets: Penge, Puig, Zanotti, Girrbach
52:45 Field Breakdown: Patrick Reed’s Money Title Hunt & Harry Hall
54:35 First Round Leader Bets (Guido, Lawrence, Girrbach, Willett)
54:55 Tour Championship TV Ratings & Year-End Thoughts
56:20 Wrap-Up & Member Feed Announcement
HELIX SLEEP — Go to helixsleep.com/mayo for 27% Off Sitewide Exclusive for listeners of Pat Mayo Experience.
MOMENTOUS -- Try Momentous Signature Spec Creatine at livemomentous.com and use code PATMAYO for up to 35% off your entire first order.
CARGURUS — Buy or sell your next car today with CarGurus at cargurus.com
SHOPIFY — With Shopify, nothing stands between your idea and a real business. So go make it one. Start your free trial at SHOPIFY.COM/patmayo
Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.Presidents Cup Captain’s Picks Reaction + 2026 Omega European Masters Picks & Bets
2026/09/02 | 56 mins.Pat Mayo, Geoff Feinberg, and Keith Stewart (ReadTheLine.com) break down the 2026 Presidents Cup Captain's Picks, recap the Golf Channel selection show disaster, debate Team USA and International team roster fits, discuss how to fix the event, and preview the Omega European Masters with outrights and FRL bets.
Get 25% off the Rabbit Hole at https://betspertsgolf.com/mayo with code “MAYO”
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account
Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW
Join Keith’s Newsletter: https://www.readtheline.com/subscribe/
Subscribe, Rate and Review
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK
Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mayomedianetwork/
TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network
YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
⛳ PME Omega European Masters Bets
WINNER
Marco Penge — 22/1
David Puig — 45/1
Fabrizio Zanotti — 110/1 (Each-Way: 8 Places)
Joel Girrbach — 110/1 (Each-Way: 8 Places)
First Round Leader (FRL) Bets
Guido Migliozzi — 60/1
Thriston Lawrence — 66/1
Joel Girrbach — 80/1
Danny Willett — 100/1
CHAPTERS
0:00 INTRO
0:35 Presidents Cup Selection Show: An Absolute Disaster
1:40 Why Did the Captain's Picks Show Need 90 Minutes?
3:05 Pat’s Radical Fix for the Selection Broadcast
4:25 Reality TV Tropes & Presidents Cup Identity Crisis
5:50 Was Brandt Snedeker Bullied into the Jackson Koivun Pick?
7:05 The Ryder Cup vs. Presidents Cup Connection & Jim Furyk
8:20 Does Jacob Bridgeman Actually Fit Medinah No. 3?
9:15 Finding Team USA Pairings: Who Plays with Scottie Scheffler?
14:05 Analyzing Team USA’s 6 Captain’s Picks
15:20 The Jacob Bridgeman Controversy: Over/Under 1.5 Future Cups?
16:45 Team USA Roles: Alternate Shot, Fourball & Pod Structure
18:50 Why Bridgeman Over Ryan Gerard? Floor vs. Ceiling Debate
21:10 Betting the Presidents Cup: USA Odds & Montreal 2024 Flashbacks
22:15 Ryan Gerard's Case, Ball-Striking & Medinah Setups
24:10 Medinah Official Scorecard: Par 70, 7,548 Yards & Bomb-and-Gouge
25:35 Why Didn't They Pick Driving Distance (Thorbjornsen/Brennan)?
28:10 Koivun's Ceiling & Snedeker's Analytical Strategy
29:00 Why Was Jake Knapp Completely Overlooked?
30:05 Team Europe's Ryder Cup Adare Manor Gathering
31:10 International Team Rosters & Color Scheme Slander
32:05 The Challenge of Multilingual Team Dynamics
32:35 Christian Bezuidenhout's Pick & The Singles Matchups Loophole
34:05 Why Didn't Mike Weir Target Younger International Talent?
36:30 Medinah Redesign: The 16th Hole & Raw Distance Requirements
37:45 Nick Taylor's Inclusion & Playing the Youth Movement
40:35 Keith on the PGA Tour's Future Schedule Changes (LACC & Sleepy Hollow)
44:50 The Ultimate Fix: Should the Presidents Cup Become Co-Ed?
47:45 Solheim Cup 2026 Preview: Team Europe vs. Team USA Picks
49:35 Megan Kang, Rose Zhang & Team Dynamics in the Netherlands
50:50 Omega European Masters Preview: Crans-sur-Sierre Breakdown
52:00 Pat Mayo's Outright Bets: Penge, Puig, Zanotti, Girrbach
52:45 Field Breakdown: Patrick Reed’s Money Title Hunt & Harry Hall
54:35 First Round Leader Bets (Guido, Lawrence, Girrbach, Willett)
54:55 Tour Championship TV Ratings & Year-End Thoughts
56:20 Wrap-Up & Member Feed Announcement
HELIX SLEEP — Go to helixsleep.com/mayo for 27% Off Sitewide Exclusive for listeners of Pat Mayo Experience.
MOMENTOUS -- Try Momentous Signature Spec Creatine at livemomentous.com and use code PATMAYO for up to 35% off your entire first order.
CARGURUS — Buy or sell your next car today with CarGurus at cargurus.com
SHOPIFY — With Shopify, nothing stands between your idea and a real business. So go make it one. Start your free trial at SHOPIFY.COM/patmayo
Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.FINAL 2026 Fantasy Football Rankings Update! (Josh Jacobs, MarShawn Lloyd & Late Round Sleepers)
2026/09/01 | 1h 3 mins.Pat Mayo (@ThePME) is joined by Jake Ciely (@allinkid) and Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) to deliver their FINAL 2026 Fantasy Football rankings update ahead of peak draft week! The guys break down the fallout of the Josh Jacobs commissioner's exempt list news, what to do with MarShawn Lloyd, injury updates on Jeremiah Love & Malik Nabers, backfield breakdowns in Dallas, Kansas City, and NY, plus their favorite late-round sleeper wide receivers, handcuffs, and DFS Week 1 value plays.
Mayo’s FINAL Top 200 Fantasy Football Rankings: https://mayomedia.substack.com/p/2026-top-200-fantasy-football-rankings
4FOR4/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account
Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW
Subscribe, Rate and Review the PME
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK
Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mayomedianetwork/
TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network
YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
Ian’s 2026 Fantasy Football Rankings & Content at Rotowire. Code "Ian20" for 20% off: https://www.rotowire.com/football/expert-rankings.php?id=1490
Get Jake’s Content at The Athletic: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/author/jake-ciely/
#FantasyFootball
#Fantasyfootballrankings
#PatMayoExperience
#NFL
#FantasyFootball2026
#UDPartner
CHAPTERS
00:00 - INTRO
01:20 - Draft Punishment Stories & Jake's Waffle House Vigil
02:50 - Josh Jacobs & MarShawn Lloyd: How Far Does Jacobs Fall?
06:30 - Seahawks Backfield: Zach Charbonnet, Jadarian Price & Sam Darnold
09:10 - Ranking MarShawn Lloyd vs. TreVeyon Henderson
11:15 - Jeremiah Love Injury Outlook & Tier Comparisons
16:30 - Ashton Jeanty & RB Movement
19:20 - Cam Skattebo & NY Giants Offensive Outlook
21:00 - Cowboys Backfield: Javonte Williams Workhorse, Malik Davis & Jayden Blue Cut
23:35 - Chiefs RB2 Handcuff Search (Kareem Hunt Watch)
24:50 - Saints Passing Game: Juwan Johnson & Devaughn Vele Sleepers
27:40 - Commanders WR Hierarchy & Terry McLaurin / Stefon Diggs
28:55 - Kayshon Boutte to Texans & "Chasing the Dragon" WRs
31:00 - High-Value Handcuffs to Target (Bigsby, Ray Davis, Jordan James)
31:55 - Malik Nabers & Jaxson Dart Fantasy Upside
35:10 - Breece Hall, Braelon Allen & Jets Backfield
36:45 - De'Von Achane & Alvin Kamara Status
38:40 - Deep Sleepers: Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas, Matthew Golden & Dontayvion Wicks
45:00 - Malachi Fields & Jalen McMillan Late-Round Upside
46:45 - Bucs & Falcons Offense Concerns
48:35 - Week 1 DFS Free Squares & Low-Cost Stacks
50:45 - Lions Depth Chart Oddities & Isaac TeSlaa / Jacob Saylors
53:50 - Auction Draft Shenanigans & Jordan Love / Jeremiah Love Mixups
55:55 - Single-Digit Jersey Theory & 49ers WR Depth
58:35 - Draft Sunk Cost Fallacy & Rage Cuts
1:01:30 - Final Cheat Sheets, Projections & Week 1 Rankings Preview
HELIX SLEEP — Go to helixsleep.com/mayo for 27% Off Sitewide Exclusive for listeners of Pat Mayo Experience.
MOMENTOUS -- Try Momentous Signature Spec Creatine at livemomentous.com and use code PATMAYO for up to 35% off your entire first order.
CARGURUS — Buy or sell your next car today with CarGurus at cargurus.com
SHOPIFY — With Shopify, nothing stands between your idea and a real business. So go make it one. Start your free trial at SHOPIFY.COM/patmayo
Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
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2026/08/31 | 3h 31 mins.Pat Mayo, Geoff Feinberg, Tim Anderson (Cust), and The Coin break down every single AFC team for the 2026 NFL Season! They run through full win totals, division champions, playoff seeds, Super Bowl predictions, Cust’s brand-new “Hateful Eight,” and a vintage Cust Corner featuring fast food flights, 9/11 wedding discounts, and PEI beer keg logistics.
NFC Win Totals: https://youtu.be/dqOSFPgQs8Q
4FOR4/SharpStack Discount: https://4for4.com/mayo
Use code “MAYO” at underdog and make a $5 Pick’em entry and instantly get $50 in your account
Get a Deposit BONUS Coolbet: https://shorturl.at/CHfyW
Subscribe, Rate and Review the PME
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
FOLLOW MAYO MEDIA NETWORK
Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mayomedianetwork/
TIK TOK: https://www.tiktok.com/discover/mayo-media-network
YOUTUBE: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
#NFL #NFLPicks #FantasyFootball #SportsBetting #PatMayoExperience #NFLWinTotals #UDPartner
CHAPTERS
0:00 Cold Open: Denver Broncos Outlook
0:50 Welcome to the AFC Win Totals Show (Golf Filming Recap & Nerves)
6:49 AFC South: Houston Texans (9.5 Wins)
19:50 AFC South: Jacksonville Jaguars (9.5 Wins)
33:47 AFC South: Indianapolis Colts (8.5 Wins)
38:45 AFC South: Tennessee Titans (6.5 Wins)
48:07 Tim’s "Hateful Eight" Debut & AFC South Division Winners
50:00 Sponsor: 4for4 & Momentous
51:59 AFC East: Buffalo Bills (10.5 Wins)
1:04:52 AFC East: New England Patriots (9.5 Wins)
1:15:28 AFC East: New York Jets (5.5 Wins)
1:31:33 AFC East: Miami Dolphins (4.5 Wins)
1:41:34 AFC East Division Winners
1:42:04 Cust Corner: Fast Food Flights & GLP-1 Impact
1:53:35 Cust Corner: 9/11 Wedding Discounts
1:57:48 Cust Corner: The Great PEI Beer Keg Debacle
2:10:25 Matilda the Goose Update
2:11:45 Sponsor: CarGurus & Shopify
2:13:56 AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs (10.5 Wins)
2:18:45 AFC West: Los Angeles Chargers (7.5 Wins)
2:41:04 AFC West: Denver Broncos (9.5 Wins)
2:49:54 AFC West: Las Vegas Raiders (5.5 Wins)
2:55:32 AFC West Division Winners
2:55:45 AFC North: Baltimore Ravens (11.5 Wins)
2:59:35 AFC North: Cincinnati Bengals (10.5 Wins)
3:10:16 AFC North: Pittsburgh Steelers (8.5 Wins)
3:13:40 Pat McAfee Album Review & Media Takes
3:23:34 AFC North: Cleveland Browns (6.5 Wins)
3:29:20 AFC North Division Winners
3:29:30 AFC Championship Predictions
3:30:08 Official 2026 Super Bowl Picks
MOMENTOUS -- Try Momentous Signature Spec Creatine at livemomentous.com and use code PATMAYO for up to 35% off your entire first order.
CARGURUS — Buy or sell your next car today with CarGurus at cargurus.com
SHOPIFY — With Shopify, nothing stands between your idea and a real business. So go make it one. Start your free trial at SHOPIFY.COM/patmayo
Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)
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About Pat Mayo Experience
The daily intersection of sports betting, fantasy, and absolute chaos. Hosted by award-winning analyst Pat Mayo, The Pat Mayo Experience (The PME) delivers sharp betting previews, DFS strategy, and deep-dive analytics for PGA Tour golf and NFL football, cut with unfiltered comedy and pop culture debates.
Whether you're building weekly fantasy lineups, finding betting value on golf outrights and NFL spreads & props, or tuning in for the legendary studio debates on movies and fast food, you won't find a sharper or more entertaining edge.
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